{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f63e4963-e855-4c71-892d-92d02934b405", "symbol": "HURA", "name": "TuHURA Biosciences Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 90.635, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.73, "architecture_energy": 11.368, "architecture_maturity": 26.441, "architecture_confidence": 71.465, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.57, "rotation_up": 24.6, "upward_expansion": 44.63, "deceleration": 78.9, "rotation_down": 32.7, "downward_expansion": 31.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.17, 2.235545, 2.271881, 2.166671 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.13, "trend_reference": 1.904243, "distance_from_trend": 0.118555, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.739237, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.84497, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.715727, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 2.386328, "excess_performance": 2.198874, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.118555, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165509, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.84497, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058582, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.057157, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004934, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.386328, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.581266, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 695619, "relative_activity": 0.205489, "balance": 0.581266, "dry_up": 0.35551, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183658, "annualized_volatility": 1.591232, "from_high_reference": -0.453846, "from_low_reference": 4.195122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.904243, "fair_value_reference": 13.739237, "structural_low": 0.6399, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.18074, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.214286, "median_excess_return": -0.189805, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.470833, "worst_return": -0.888338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.441656, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.522088, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.341071, "worst_return": -0.955859, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.360544, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.700484, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": -0.347398, "worst_return": -0.969849, "sufficient": true }, { 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"volume": 2296017, "typical_volume": 3933224.25, "trend": 1.76721, "fair_value": 16.385968, "relative_strength": 0.933609, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.982779, "energy": 25.02845, "activity_lines": [ 2.334667, 2.320364, 2.296714, 2.103871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.11, "volume": 846194, "typical_volume": 3839971.45, "trend": 1.811017, "fair_value": 15.423532, "relative_strength": -2.662795, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.813972, "energy": 14.930319, "activity_lines": [ 2.250667, 2.282818, 2.288262, 2.125986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.17, "volume": 976045, "typical_volume": 3588517.35, "trend": 1.858367, "fair_value": 14.524301, "relative_strength": 0.285392, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.967384, "energy": 10.751381, "activity_lines": [ 2.217333, 2.259818, 2.282619, 2.149147 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.13, "volume": 695619, "typical_volume": 3385189.5, "trend": 1.904243, "fair_value": 13.739237, "relative_strength": -5.715727, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.73034, "energy": 11.36762, "activity_lines": [ 2.17, 2.235545, 2.271881, 2.166671 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }