{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f64261a5-77e5-4d94-bbbf-bea931bef917", "symbol": "VOW", "name": "Volkswagen AG", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.045, "architecture_energy": 52.034, "architecture_maturity": 64.407, "architecture_confidence": 90.347, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.82, "rotation_up": 23.55, "upward_expansion": 8.31, "deceleration": 59.11, "rotation_down": 55.17, "downward_expansion": 81.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.433333, 76.01944, 79.21613, 81.436765 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 77.25, "trend_reference": 85.13726, "distance_from_trend": -0.092642, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 93.210493, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.171231, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.629809, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.188061, "excess_performance": -0.252701, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092642, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070143, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.171231, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045805, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196298, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115537, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.188061, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.056406, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 225771, "relative_activity": 0.943765, "balance": 1.056406, "dry_up": 1.258483, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050986, "annualized_volatility": 0.268823, "from_high_reference": -0.253635, "from_low_reference": 0.084972 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.13726, "fair_value_reference": 93.210493, "structural_low": 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"relative_strength": -18.313572, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.553324, "energy": 85.01435, "activity_lines": [ 75.136666, 78.347003, 81.123462, 83.620337 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 73.099998, "volume": 288223, "typical_volume": 255570.7, "trend": 86.683582, "fair_value": 93.700656, "relative_strength": -20.901419, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.993367, "energy": 85.676344, "activity_lines": [ 74.086666, 76.952432, 80.213507, 82.690312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 75.85, "volume": 334744, "typical_volume": 247775.3, "trend": 85.846388, "fair_value": 93.440248, "relative_strength": -19.327583, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.829111, "energy": 65.785222, "activity_lines": [ 74.536666, 76.267378, 79.625697, 81.991371 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.25, "volume": 225771, "typical_volume": 239223.65, "trend": 85.13726, "fair_value": 93.210493, "relative_strength": -19.629809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.044574, "energy": 52.034056, "activity_lines": [ 75.433333, 76.01944, 79.21613, 81.436765 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }