{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f647f410-6f32-491f-9f88-b387d0743ba9", "symbol": "NDLVENTURE", "name": "NDL Ventures Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.528, "architecture_energy": 16.98, "architecture_maturity": 46.407, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.88, "rotation_up": 27.44, "upward_expansion": 56.37, "deceleration": 87.25, "rotation_down": 26.5, "downward_expansion": 17.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 128.57533, 129.602543, 128.503666, 125.208709 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 129.789993, "trend_reference": 118.706667, "distance_from_trend": 0.093367, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 104.110593, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.246655, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.510278, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.439871, "excess_performance": 0.48358, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.093367, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125022, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.246655, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029591, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.225103, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213563, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.439871, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.470871, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 79289, "relative_activity": 0.669017, "balance": 2.470871, "dry_up": 0.562643, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068424, "annualized_volatility": 0.305222, "from_high_reference": -0.072929, "from_low_reference": 1.091352 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 118.706667, "fair_value_reference": 104.110593, "structural_low": 90.099998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.031276, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.021919, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.73245, "worst_return": -0.187978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.104825, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.046267, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.143268, "worst_return": -0.277276, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.392589, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.381966, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.862929, "worst_return": -0.318485, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.018314, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.179978, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.098479, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.110698, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046509, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.756546, "energy": 33.747114, "activity_lines": [ 130.905331, 130.808363, 127.608429, 122.911807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 125.059998, "volume": 44183, "typical_volume": 161851.4, "trend": 116.059, "fair_value": 104.218767, "relative_strength": 25.004684, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.014959, "energy": 24.849847, "activity_lines": [ 128.724664, 129.934363, 127.694952, 123.570172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 129.029999, "volume": 98407, "typical_volume": 156293.55, "trend": 117.363667, "fair_value": 104.213143, "relative_strength": 24.219203, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.523114, "energy": 18.688092, "activity_lines": [ 128.489331, 129.697453, 128.100286, 124.407011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 129.789993, "volume": 79289, "typical_volume": 118515.6, "trend": 118.706667, "fair_value": 104.110593, "relative_strength": 22.510278, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.528246, "energy": 16.980356, "activity_lines": [ 128.57533, 129.602543, 128.503666, 125.208709 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }