{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f6481999-c14d-470e-8ee6-73b1dc8ca5b9", "symbol": "301238", "name": "Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.891, "architecture_energy": 79.348, "architecture_maturity": 19.454, "architecture_confidence": 78.173, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.34, "rotation_up": 8.18, "upward_expansion": 18.48, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 76.1, "downward_expansion": 91.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.853333, 17.775454, 19.723767, 20.117762 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.59, "trend_reference": 20.562214, "distance_from_trend": -0.19318, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.066044, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.081703, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.248443, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.194013, "excess_performance": -0.201413, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19318, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033803, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.081703, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.30372, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.222484, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120551, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.194013, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.725684, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47293199, "relative_activity": 0.788511, "balance": 1.725684, "dry_up": 1.033231, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.163508, "annualized_volatility": 0.630252, "from_high_reference": -0.405589, "from_low_reference": 0.174098 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.562214, "fair_value_reference": 18.066044, "structural_low": 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18.14031, "relative_strength": -29.753382, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.800528, "energy": 43.951887, "activity_lines": [ 18.601333, 20.600972, 21.161988, 21.098833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.87, "volume": 67207493, "typical_volume": 58811972.5, "trend": 20.855416, "fair_value": 18.110633, "relative_strength": -28.493842, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.126677, "energy": 81.374654, "activity_lines": [ 16.763333, 19.378119, 20.572953, 20.702225 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.89, "volume": 65526642, "typical_volume": 59754454.35, "trend": 20.683757, "fair_value": 18.084198, "relative_strength": -22.001522, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.090659, "energy": 81.292617, "activity_lines": [ 15.975333, 18.451454, 20.103545, 20.381875 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.59, "volume": 47293199, "typical_volume": 59977871.45, "trend": 20.562214, "fair_value": 18.066044, "relative_strength": -22.248443, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.890936, "energy": 79.347841, "activity_lines": [ 15.853333, 17.775454, 19.723767, 20.117762 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }