{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f650fae6-8301-42db-8c51-b009e769cf4b", "symbol": "ZMM", "name": "Zimi Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.312, "architecture_energy": 32.257, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.441, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.7, "rotation_up": 27.53, "upward_expansion": 17.72, "deceleration": 46.78, "rotation_down": 26.99, "downward_expansion": 60.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.004, 0.003891, 0.0042, 0.004502 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.004, "trend_reference": 0.005, "distance_from_trend": -0.2, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.01621, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.753234, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.758275, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.333333, "excess_performance": -0.397039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.2, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162011, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.753234, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018566, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.437583, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043281, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.333333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.278215, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115385, "annualized_volatility": 0.827074, "from_high_reference": -0.8, "from_low_reference": 0.333333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.005, "fair_value_reference": 0.01621, "structural_low": 0.003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": -0.047799, "positive_rate": 0.32, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.053556, "regime_survival": 0.94, "best_return": 0.444444, "worst_return": -0.4375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.2, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.195694, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.212121, "worst_return": -0.583333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.294121, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.285286, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.545455, "worst_return": -0.666667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.562389, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.607446, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.428571, "worst_return": -0.708414, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-10-06", "end": "2023-11-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.075, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2023-12-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.081081, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-08", "end": "2023-12-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-12-15", "end": "2023-12-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.555556, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-29", "end": "2024-02-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.130435, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-02-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.135135, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.527778, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.004, "volume": 322136, "typical_volume": 812838.85, "trend": 0.005267, "fair_value": 0.016716, "relative_strength": -44.051527, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.129387, "energy": 56.339913, "activity_lines": [ 0.0038, 0.003945, 0.004379, 0.004732 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.004, "volume": 17500, "typical_volume": 795187.0, "trend": 0.0052, "fair_value": 0.016505, "relative_strength": -42.953967, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.01281, "energy": 36.92006, "activity_lines": [ 0.003933, 0.003909, 0.004314, 0.004651 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.004, "volume": 5000000, "typical_volume": 1045187.0, "trend": 0.0051, "fair_value": 0.01637, "relative_strength": -43.125581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.581758, "energy": 32.158089, "activity_lines": [ 0.004, 0.003891, 0.004255, 0.004573 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.004, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1044353.65, "trend": 0.005, "fair_value": 0.01621, "relative_strength": -43.758275, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.311988, "energy": 32.257429, "activity_lines": [ 0.004, 0.003891, 0.0042, 0.004502 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }