{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f6591636-da1d-4078-bedc-f8167148cd00", "symbol": "4198", "name": "S&S Healthcare Holding Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 86.407, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.303, "architecture_energy": 28.553, "architecture_maturity": 23.54, "architecture_confidence": 52.081, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.76, "rotation_up": 46.24, "upward_expansion": 73.36, "deceleration": 64.39, "rotation_down": 22.04, "downward_expansion": 4.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.0, 40.818182, 39.805477, 39.264301 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 41.75, "trend_reference": 38.046667, "distance_from_trend": 0.097337, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.792308, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.199978, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.987334, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.304688, "excess_performance": -0.136685, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.097337, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033175, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.199978, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090173, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.219873, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122388, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.304688, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.056712, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40227, "relative_activity": 0.776656, "balance": 1.056712, "dry_up": 0.741484, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096269, "annualized_volatility": 0.439152, "from_high_reference": -0.082418, "from_low_reference": 0.39399 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.046667, "fair_value_reference": 34.792308, "structural_low": 32.349998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.014778, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.034483, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.722222, "worst_return": -0.151644, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.039855, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.100849, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.007619, "worst_return": -0.194639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.078502, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.30708, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.685714, "worst_return": -0.270396, "sufficient": false }, { 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"direction": 76.23149, "energy": 66.492884, "activity_lines": [ 41.266667, 39.752728, 39.075953, 38.29914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.049999, "volume": 47340, "typical_volume": 54587.45, "trend": 37.33, "fair_value": 34.328526, "relative_strength": -27.525177, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.42929, "energy": 47.259194, "activity_lines": [ 40.623334, 39.593637, 38.996191, 38.350861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.700001, "volume": 51061, "typical_volume": 52815.15, "trend": 37.436667, "fair_value": 34.441667, "relative_strength": -23.163704, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.89124, "energy": 48.176062, "activity_lines": [ 40.793334, 39.915455, 39.173334, 38.56828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.0, "volume": 45332, "typical_volume": 53570.45, "trend": 37.536667, "fair_value": 34.549359, "relative_strength": -22.559168, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.123147, "energy": 33.325593, "activity_lines": [ 40.583334, 40.045455, 39.285, 38.733656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.700001, "volume": 17001, "typical_volume": 51401.0, "trend": 37.688334, "fair_value": 34.670513, "relative_strength": -20.309738, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.933401, "energy": 24.414494, "activity_lines": [ 40.806667, 40.465455, 39.554524, 39.002258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 41.75, "volume": 40227, "typical_volume": 51795.1, "trend": 38.046667, "fair_value": 34.792308, "relative_strength": -21.987334, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.302562, "energy": 28.552693, "activity_lines": [ 41.0, 40.818182, 39.805477, 39.264301 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }