{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f65dd870-8757-49a5-aaa6-29d1bd477549", "symbol": "MSTY", "name": "YIELDMAX MSTR OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.429, "architecture_energy": 53.833, "architecture_maturity": 48.013, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.94, "rotation_up": 24.87, "upward_expansion": 9.35, "deceleration": 54.43, "rotation_down": 51.27, "downward_expansion": 80.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.307335, 12.478188, 15.164146, 16.354706 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.82, "trend_reference": 17.7113, "distance_from_trend": -0.276168, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.059597, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.543115, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -51.799192, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.281202, "excess_performance": -0.406827, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.276168, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154368, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.543115, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.351052, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.517992, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19405, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.281202, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.456263, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5726929, "relative_activity": 0.785006, "balance": 0.456263, "dry_up": 0.695479, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.184199, "annualized_volatility": 0.741645, "from_high_reference": -0.727274, "from_low_reference": 0.205147 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.7113, "fair_value_reference": 28.059597, "structural_low": 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.524816, "energy": 85.474064, "activity_lines": [ 12.469733, 14.74654, 17.266995, 17.948196 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.175692, "volume": 4608420, "typical_volume": 7139651.45, "trend": 18.570144, "fair_value": 28.435456, "relative_strength": -56.404125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.461623, "energy": 85.371759, "activity_lines": [ 12.143482, 13.866866, 16.690501, 17.515513 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.832821, "volume": 4555825, "typical_volume": 7182627.2, "trend": 18.266075, "fair_value": 28.304727, "relative_strength": -56.086328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.899834, "energy": 78.10361, "activity_lines": [ 11.964543, 13.137129, 16.108445, 17.080847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.167723, "volume": 5404007, "typical_volume": 7292133.2, "trend": 17.976838, "fair_value": 28.178656, "relative_strength": -54.063878, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.473332, "energy": 65.696368, "activity_lines": [ 12.077567, 12.668526, 15.588692, 16.687405 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.82, "volume": 5726929, "typical_volume": 7295394.1, "trend": 17.7113, "fair_value": 28.059597, "relative_strength": -51.799192, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.428968, "energy": 53.832594, "activity_lines": [ 12.307335, 12.478188, 15.164146, 16.354706 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }