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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.31, "architecture_energy": 55.654, "architecture_maturity": 61.859, "architecture_confidence": 45.808, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.33, "rotation_up": 46.29, "upward_expansion": 73.93, "deceleration": 73.53, "rotation_down": 27.79, "downward_expansion": 14.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 315.553331, 315.051808, 297.856075, 288.092069 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 321.899994, "trend_reference": 278.453047, "distance_from_trend": 0.15603, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 238.274023, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.350966, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.548993, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.189788, "excess_performance": 0.015542, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.15603, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065806, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.350966, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.225135, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01549, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106181, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.189788, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.777318, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 320, "relative_activity": 0.525624, "balance": 0.777318, "dry_up": 1.04591, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047678, "annualized_volatility": 0.331406, "from_high_reference": -0.033188, "from_low_reference": 0.427477 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 278.453047, "fair_value_reference": 238.274023, "structural_low": 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[ 316.868368, 306.800409, 286.747995, 280.25201 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 313.350006, "volume": 738, "typical_volume": 674.65, "trend": 275.396451, "fair_value": 236.396024, "relative_strength": -1.428159, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.081122, "energy": 72.999404, "activity_lines": [ 315.433327, 310.234816, 290.37853, 282.802025 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 312.399994, "volume": 473, "typical_volume": 646.9, "trend": 276.907848, "fair_value": 237.290188, "relative_strength": -1.625584, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.791047, "energy": 53.330845, "activity_lines": [ 313.565332, 312.252858, 293.778969, 285.18935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 321.899994, "volume": 320, "typical_volume": 608.8, "trend": 278.453047, "fair_value": 238.274023, "relative_strength": -1.548993, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.309743, "energy": 55.654407, "activity_lines": [ 315.553331, 315.051808, 297.856075, 288.092069 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }