{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f66fde18-a2f7-4507-bc0f-ee794509fbeb", "symbol": "DICIND", "name": "DIC India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 66.676, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -11.332, "architecture_energy": 6.031, "architecture_maturity": 47.685, "architecture_confidence": 94.843, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 70.23, "rotation_up": 26.12, "upward_expansion": 37.31, "deceleration": 35.84, "rotation_down": 25.84, "downward_expansion": 34.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 517.22334, 515.636364, 515.633093, 516.839481 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 519.25, "trend_reference": 518.035382, "distance_from_trend": 0.002345, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 554.33545, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.063293, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.200771, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.071992, "excess_performance": -0.028283, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002345, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008779, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.063293, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064466, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.002008, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024619, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.071992, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.163064, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5633, "relative_activity": 0.764351, "balance": 1.163064, "dry_up": 1.122102, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054287, "annualized_volatility": 0.24178, "from_high_reference": -0.154074, "from_low_reference": 0.159135 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 518.035382, "fair_value_reference": 554.33545, "structural_low": 464.799988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.01205, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.015221, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.069665, "worst_return": -0.138965, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.00807, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.062597, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.486813, "worst_return": -0.215854, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.002997, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.00595, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.479574, "worst_return": -0.139024, 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"typical_volume": 7369.65, "trend": 518.035382, "fair_value": 554.33545, "relative_strength": 0.200771, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.33157, "energy": 6.030957, "activity_lines": [ 517.22334, 515.636364, 515.633093, 516.839481 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }