{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f672d57e-b851-43e3-8e58-0eb7d7389c02",
    "symbol": "GULPOLY",
    "name": "Gulshan Polyols Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.47,
    "architecture_energy": 31.332,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.548,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.282,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.93,
        "rotation_up": 42.1,
        "upward_expansion": 74.25,
        "deceleration": 69.48,
        "rotation_down": 26.97,
        "downward_expansion": 5.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        196.167332,
        195.038544,
        192.110713,
        184.635225
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 204.869995,
    "trend_reference": 172.830666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.18538,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 185.655119,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103498,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 26.055352,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.585068,
    "excess_performance": 0.628777,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18538,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115675,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103498,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108263,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.260554,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046106,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.585068,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.496028,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7671960,
      "relative_activity": 3.273479,
      "balance": 4.496028,
      "dry_up": 2.787777,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.09451,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.51436,
      "from_high_reference": -0.099987,
      "from_low_reference": 0.686173
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 172.830666,
      "fair_value_reference": 185.655119,
      "structural_low": 129.100006,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.009807,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033414,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.12358,
        "worst_return": -0.272811,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.098434,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.057886,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.090063,
        "worst_return": -0.255853,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.008293,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047993,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.396937,
        "worst_return": -0.186596,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.055693,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.322164,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.136274,
        "worst_return": -0.346944,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.144918,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.176218,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.151865,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.098197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.053022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014206,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.016089,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.082656,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.141877,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049969,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 559557,
        "typical_volume": 1150175.75,
        "trend": 167.216666,
        "fair_value": 185.779838,
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        "direction": 30.463201,
        "energy": 20.770501,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 195.119995,
        "volume": 16407316,
        "typical_volume": 1941107.3,
        "trend": 169.059999,
        "fair_value": 185.638453,
        "relative_strength": 25.063346,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.334825,
        "energy": 20.328764,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 197.320007,
        "volume": 1495705,
        "typical_volume": 1982977.45,
        "trend": 170.857333,
        "fair_value": 185.57971,
        "relative_strength": 22.782872,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.330497,
        "energy": 20.160694,
        "activity_lines": [
          191.278,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 204.869995,
        "volume": 7671960,
        "typical_volume": 2343671.85,
        "trend": 172.830666,
        "fair_value": 185.655119,
        "relative_strength": 26.055352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.469508,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}