{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f67dd0cf-8708-400f-a0d4-f23e9cbeea98", "symbol": "301555", "name": "Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.923, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.611, "architecture_energy": 74.701, "architecture_maturity": 20.49, "architecture_confidence": 76.322, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.18, "rotation_up": 10.71, "upward_expansion": 18.56, "deceleration": 34.77, "rotation_down": 75.87, "downward_expansion": 89.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.981334, 34.055455, 36.329667, 36.643248 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 31.120001, "trend_reference": 36.877667, "distance_from_trend": -0.156129, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.221854, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.003262, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.72621, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.100578, "excess_performance": -0.107978, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.156129, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041621, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.003262, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254577, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.127262, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101362, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.100578, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.181152, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9582206, "relative_activity": 0.701027, "balance": 1.181152, "dry_up": 0.883368, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.159235, "annualized_volatility": 0.614785, "from_high_reference": -0.335043, "from_low_reference": 0.217051 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.877667, "fair_value_reference": 31.221854, "structural_low": 25.57, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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38.180633 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.09, "volume": 13659221, "typical_volume": 15404832.6, "trend": 37.089294, "fair_value": 31.244079, "relative_strength": -19.001951, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.268191, "energy": 38.010723, "activity_lines": [ 33.745333, 37.128545, 37.776667, 37.593378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.190001, "volume": 10759589, "typical_volume": 14603389.05, "trend": 36.947732, "fair_value": 31.222571, "relative_strength": -17.224501, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.529266, "energy": 53.267701, "activity_lines": [ 30.908667, 35.209091, 36.882524, 37.01923 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.120001, "volume": 9582206, "typical_volume": 13668812.45, "trend": 36.877667, "fair_value": 31.221854, "relative_strength": -12.72621, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.611389, "energy": 74.70075, "activity_lines": [ 29.981334, 34.055455, 36.329667, 36.643248 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }