{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f6828949-38be-4a6d-9556-dfb20d9d2a03", "symbol": "ADSL", "name": "Allied Digital Services Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.342, "architecture_energy": 23.699, "architecture_maturity": 28.349, "architecture_confidence": 72.605, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.4, "rotation_up": 18.29, "upward_expansion": 18.67, "deceleration": 55.22, "rotation_down": 54.39, "downward_expansion": 41.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 116.271333, 118.941636, 120.154571, 118.454796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 114.389999, "trend_reference": 117.850334, "distance_from_trend": -0.029362, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 168.925616, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.322838, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.889647, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.089614, "excess_performance": -0.045905, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029362, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098464, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.322838, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15652, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168896, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110263, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.089614, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.049924, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 654678, "relative_activity": 0.553321, "balance": 0.049924, "dry_up": 0.764616, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076883, "annualized_volatility": 0.510513, "from_high_reference": -0.454064, "from_low_reference": 0.325953 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 117.850334, "fair_value_reference": 168.925616, "structural_low": 86.269997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.033812, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": -0.027681, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.474911, "worst_return": -0.169206, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.074566, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.124288, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.858015, "worst_return": -0.304827, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.038397, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.07805, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.585858, 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"activity_lines": [ 122.143999, 122.135091, 120.519, 119.257248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 118.139999, "volume": 976650, "typical_volume": 1233929.15, "trend": 119.914667, "fair_value": 169.191413, "relative_strength": -12.348427, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.868476, "energy": 5.265278, "activity_lines": [ 120.436666, 121.372545, 120.687048, 119.063742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 114.639999, "volume": 696710, "typical_volume": 1223778.55, "trend": 118.554, "fair_value": 169.027705, "relative_strength": -16.645506, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.124066, "energy": 13.729803, "activity_lines": [ 117.941999, 120.110909, 120.468381, 118.723441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.389999, "volume": 654678, "typical_volume": 1183179.55, "trend": 117.850334, "fair_value": 168.925616, "relative_strength": -16.889647, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.342264, "energy": 23.699077, "activity_lines": [ 116.271333, 118.941636, 120.154571, 118.454796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }