{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f685d49f-14c4-4a23-98de-a5c5c5281541", "symbol": "MVEA", "name": "iShares Edge MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Advanced UCITS ETF USD (Acc)", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 52.161, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.604, "architecture_energy": 85.21, "architecture_maturity": 24.742, "architecture_confidence": 63.897, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.93, "rotation_up": 80.99, "upward_expansion": 93.61, "deceleration": 43.01, "rotation_down": 10.74, "downward_expansion": 17.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.840733, 8.759345, 8.659191, 8.599168 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.055, "trend_reference": 8.54831, "distance_from_trend": 0.059274, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.017504, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.129404, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.072087, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.060851, "excess_performance": -0.055811, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059274, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010836, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.129404, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057005, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050721, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013729, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060851, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.69139, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5173, "relative_activity": 0.490948, "balance": 1.69139, "dry_up": 1.751963, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014917, "annualized_volatility": 0.092822, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.108839 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.54831, "fair_value_reference": 8.017504, "structural_low": 8.1662, "invalidation": "A 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"energy": 67.647564, "activity_lines": [ 8.666067, 8.624236, 8.544092, 8.523089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.718, "volume": 26169, "typical_volume": 9277.7, "trend": 8.509927, "fair_value": 7.979243, "relative_strength": -7.822505, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.042959, "energy": 76.695595, "activity_lines": [ 8.698133, 8.648218, 8.56497, 8.537062 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.701, "volume": 13421, "typical_volume": 9294.1, "trend": 8.517163, "fair_value": 7.99075, "relative_strength": -7.561487, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.596852, "energy": 75.540214, "activity_lines": [ 8.713933, 8.663745, 8.584123, 8.549389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.763, "volume": 29077, "typical_volume": 10310.25, "trend": 8.529253, "fair_value": 8.003144, "relative_strength": -7.353192, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.731057, "energy": 71.447416, "activity_lines": [ 8.734533, 8.686255, 8.608522, 8.565249 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.055, "volume": 5173, "typical_volume": 10536.75, "trend": 8.54831, "fair_value": 8.017504, "relative_strength": -5.072087, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.604452, "energy": 85.210101, "activity_lines": [ 8.840733, 8.759345, 8.659191, 8.599168 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }