{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f68e5ab7-fb55-4e8a-8256-00609eb7e41f", "symbol": "T1EC34", "name": "TechnipFMC plc", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.937, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.928, "architecture_energy": 58.529, "architecture_maturity": 6.99, "architecture_confidence": 76.906, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.32, "rotation_up": 67.94, "upward_expansion": 81.54, "deceleration": 51.04, "rotation_down": 11.69, "downward_expansion": 12.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 366.884666, 360.07509, 358.424918, 355.216412 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 357.98999, "trend_reference": 345.092042, "distance_from_trend": 0.037375, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 191.500866, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.869391, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.490175, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.163658, "excess_performance": 0.220707, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037375, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125084, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.869391, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.288861, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.214902, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065402, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.163658, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.850679, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35, "relative_activity": 0.157127, "balance": 0.850679, "dry_up": 0.358025, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038537, "annualized_volatility": 0.307588, "from_high_reference": -0.079315, "from_low_reference": 0.884309 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 345.092042, "fair_value_reference": 191.500866, "structural_low": 308.959869, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.042031, "positive_rate": 0.594595, "directional_follow_through": 0.594595, "median_excess_return": 0.032645, "regime_survival": 0.756757, "best_return": 0.230127, "worst_return": -0.140408, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.091882, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.158783, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.402778, "worst_return": -0.126924, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.223222, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.154843, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.469965, "worst_return": 0.119332, "sufficient": true }, { 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"stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.477221, "energy": 61.996515, "activity_lines": [ 366.453336, 357.673092, 357.981634, 352.571935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 363.5, "volume": 136, "typical_volume": 221.8, "trend": 342.135673, "fair_value": 189.74719, "relative_strength": 20.476795, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.645644, "energy": 49.109815, "activity_lines": [ 368.54067, 359.393637, 358.561494, 354.193553 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 357.98999, "volume": 35, "typical_volume": 222.75, "trend": 345.092042, "fair_value": 191.500866, "relative_strength": 21.490175, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.928085, "energy": 58.529488, "activity_lines": [ 366.884666, 360.07509, 358.424918, 355.216412 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }