{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f68f000e-065e-4ef6-8bca-5a03311cf671", "symbol": "688395", "name": "Shenzhen Sine Electric Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.682, "architecture_energy": 62.051, "architecture_maturity": 17.479, "architecture_confidence": 83.276, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.56, "rotation_up": 13.08, "upward_expansion": 11.63, "deceleration": 44.46, "rotation_down": 68.38, "downward_expansion": 84.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.444, 21.165986, 23.537639, 24.498967 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.780001, "trend_reference": 25.428618, "distance_from_trend": -0.143485, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.029977, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035665, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.053749, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.170286, "excess_performance": -0.127082, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.143485, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032506, "read": "Falling" 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18.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.002206, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.017778, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.224138, "worst_return": -0.350614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.023191, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.021287, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.224138, "worst_return": -0.341519, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.290855, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.203837, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.314422, "worst_return": -0.385687, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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21.153107, "relative_strength": -18.022305, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.136264, "energy": 71.833686, "activity_lines": [ 22.400668, 24.147146, 25.646992, 25.938051 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.84, "volume": 6807233, "typical_volume": 6298400.2, "trend": 25.789951, "fair_value": 21.113076, "relative_strength": -18.253058, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.62334, "energy": 84.757186, "activity_lines": [ 21.389334, 23.038762, 25.036094, 25.546871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.76, "volume": 8515442, "typical_volume": 6446772.1, "trend": 25.629284, "fair_value": 21.074234, "relative_strength": -23.295393, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.367095, "energy": 84.735924, "activity_lines": [ 20.306667, 21.922474, 24.360101, 25.093326 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.15, "volume": 5889047, "typical_volume": 6383051.45, "trend": 25.513284, "fair_value": 21.044303, "relative_strength": -17.619899, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.539029, "energy": 79.361872, "activity_lines": [ 20.049334, 21.292635, 23.854441, 24.739824 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.780001, "volume": 6983648, "typical_volume": 6410593.8, "trend": 25.428618, "fair_value": 21.029977, "relative_strength": -13.053749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.681515, "energy": 62.051363, "activity_lines": [ 20.444, 21.165986, 23.537639, 24.498967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }