{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f6a456ef-7e74-48b9-afd2-8da500a0ff9d",
    "symbol": "002938",
    "name": "Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.716,
    "architecture_energy": 22.896,
    "architecture_maturity": 80.28,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.62,
        "rotation_up": 24.07,
        "upward_expansion": 54.66,
        "deceleration": 91.09,
        "rotation_down": 33.68,
        "downward_expansion": 20.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        92.298001,
        96.335697,
        94.27655,
        86.15334
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 101.410004,
    "trend_reference": 75.948159,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.335253,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.128499,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.465687,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 52.158809,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.776941,
    "excess_performance": 0.769541,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335253,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.291707,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.465687,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.313751,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.521588,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.265392,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.776941,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.973892,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 151863102,
      "relative_activity": 0.975894,
      "balance": 1.973892,
      "dry_up": 1.10022,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.164542,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.664423,
      "from_high_reference": -0.176198,
      "from_low_reference": 1.402511
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 75.948159,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.128499,
      "structural_low": 48.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.003411,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053744,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.149137,
        "worst_return": -0.220199,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.049494,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012917,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.224455,
        "worst_return": -0.231341,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.283534,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.115267,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.062827,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.203461,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.067248,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.191629,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.056063,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.174945,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.062987,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.367257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.055837,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.088313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 39.837424,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 155779615.95,
        "trend": 73.238493,
        "fair_value": 40.253035,
        "relative_strength": 40.333169,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.618925,
        "energy": 26.44304,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 81.5,
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        "typical_volume": 156789683.95,
        "trend": 74.253826,
        "fair_value": 40.623929,
        "relative_strength": 30.168331,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.479006,
        "energy": 22.699617,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 101.410004,
        "volume": 151863102,
        "typical_volume": 155614403.1,
        "trend": 75.948159,
        "fair_value": 41.128499,
        "relative_strength": 52.158809,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.716331,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}