{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f6b88525-65e3-46c9-92d2-535d37d47b73", "symbol": "WEC", "name": "WEC Energy Group Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 93.536, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -36.875, "architecture_energy": 29.782, "architecture_maturity": 9.929, "architecture_confidence": 71.07, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.78, "rotation_up": 22.74, "upward_expansion": 13.44, "deceleration": 51.35, "rotation_down": 59.25, "downward_expansion": 45.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 110.986667, 113.024364, 113.296321, 113.450572 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 107.63, "trend_reference": 113.074996, "distance_from_trend": -0.048154, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 94.354746, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140695, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.394952, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.01776, "excess_performance": -0.143385, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048154, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.140695, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068021, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.13395, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043023, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.01776, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.69616, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12159796, "relative_activity": 1.245213, "balance": 0.69616, "dry_up": 1.054499, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045005, "annualized_volatility": 0.204313, "from_high_reference": -0.10241, "from_low_reference": 0.063052 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 113.074996, "fair_value_reference": 94.354746, "structural_low": 106.47, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.013275, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.00186, "regime_survival": 0.35, "best_return": 0.116961, "worst_return": -0.063293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.000946, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.02241, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.225431, "worst_return": -0.122113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.017548, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 2.2e-05, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.236003, 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[ 113.265333, 114.196909, 113.887828, 113.791729 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 107.63, "volume": 12159796, "typical_volume": 9765229.9, "trend": 113.074996, "fair_value": 94.354746, "relative_strength": -13.394952, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.874686, "energy": 29.782246, "activity_lines": [ 110.986667, 113.024364, 113.296321, 113.450572 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }