{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f6bcf09b-4988-4cba-b4ea-9c49ccf528b7", "symbol": "3312", "name": "GMI Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.664, "architecture_energy": 18.573, "architecture_maturity": 70.805, "architecture_confidence": 78.802, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.99, "rotation_up": 22.89, "upward_expansion": 47.12, "deceleration": 84.79, "rotation_down": 36.73, "downward_expansion": 27.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.306666, 51.391817, 51.837857, 48.948172 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 55.099998, "trend_reference": 45.416666, "distance_from_trend": 0.213211, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.555849, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.209504, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.479787, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.448095, "excess_performance": 0.006723, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.213211, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135937, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.209504, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104826, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.074798, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176465, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.448095, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.791438, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13768035, "relative_activity": 0.791061, "balance": 1.791438, "dry_up": 0.449888, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160547, "annualized_volatility": 0.722253, "from_high_reference": -0.247268, "from_low_reference": 0.749206 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.416666, "fair_value_reference": 45.555849, "structural_low": 31.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.014514, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.021484, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.053465, "worst_return": -0.148784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.094441, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.08266, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.014463, "worst_return": -0.21832, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.11971, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.067972, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.156848, "worst_return": -0.303173, "sufficient": false }, { 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false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.013267, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.118557, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.082515, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.106754, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.163415, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": 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"relative_strength": -19.695609, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.438737, "energy": 22.42835, "activity_lines": [ 51.676666, 54.928181, 51.581905, 48.163118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.099998, "volume": 6031239, "typical_volume": 16934568.85, "trend": 44.653333, "fair_value": 45.147464, "relative_strength": -24.831524, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.057151, "energy": 19.948862, "activity_lines": [ 48.033332, 52.657272, 51.179285, 48.07914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.0, "volume": 6918250, "typical_volume": 16837312.85, "trend": 44.976667, "fair_value": 45.328623, "relative_strength": -17.33545, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.602957, "energy": 24.059403, "activity_lines": [ 47.089999, 51.359999, 51.19619, 48.295054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 55.099998, "volume": 13768035, "typical_volume": 17404521.0, "trend": 45.416666, "fair_value": 45.555849, "relative_strength": -7.479787, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.663841, "energy": 18.57263, "activity_lines": [ 49.306666, 51.391817, 51.837857, 48.948172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }