{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f6c3cbc1-e327-4aa9-882e-410bcdd0241f",
    "symbol": "SB",
    "name": "Safe Bulkers Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.395,
    "architecture_energy": 75.393,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.409,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.111,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.29,
        "rotation_up": 76.81,
        "upward_expansion": 92.6,
        "deceleration": 41.96,
        "rotation_down": 8.99,
        "downward_expansion": 16.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        6.909081,
        6.731007
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.6,
    "trend_reference": 6.440094,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.180107,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.478873,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.696855,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.444279,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.372233,
    "excess_performance": 0.246608,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.180107,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118405,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.696855,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019667,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204443,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070266,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.372233,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.8633,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3307203,
      "relative_activity": 0.965112,
      "balance": 0.8633,
      "dry_up": 1.406922,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.077985,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.343572,
      "from_high_reference": -0.055901,
      "from_low_reference": 0.898405
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.440094,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.478873,
      "structural_low": 5.523532,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.028725,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006282,
        "regime_survival": 0.740741,
        "best_return": 0.188862,
        "worst_return": -0.237556,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.083341,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008034,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.269879,
        "worst_return": -0.2522,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.118644,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.159215,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.363124,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038965,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.182771,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 3434913.75,
        "trend": 6.257277,
        "fair_value": 4.417753,
        "relative_strength": 29.529588,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.81,
        "volume": 4256986,
        "typical_volume": 3438041.1,
        "trend": 6.35781,
        "fair_value": 4.44924,
        "relative_strength": 29.143386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.920009,
        "energy": 76.242688,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.820483,
          6.650866
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.6,
        "volume": 3307203,
        "typical_volume": 3426755.35,
        "trend": 6.440094,
        "fair_value": 4.478873,
        "relative_strength": 20.444279,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.394789,
        "energy": 75.393072,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}