{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f6d6fec0-92c0-4b99-b855-262131b59231", "symbol": "LSTR", "name": "Landstar System Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.181, "architecture_energy": 19.709, "architecture_maturity": 65.15, "architecture_confidence": 87.447, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.49, "rotation_up": 17.48, "upward_expansion": 54.35, "deceleration": 91.14, "rotation_down": 41.81, "downward_expansion": 22.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 189.820667, 198.338182, 197.754232, 189.510106 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 182.99, "trend_reference": 178.201745, "distance_from_trend": 0.02687, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 162.695884, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.124737, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.244178, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.134562, "excess_performance": -0.052892, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02687, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144059, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.124737, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01308, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.022442, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054115, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.134562, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.487865, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2592261, "relative_activity": 1.101281, "balance": 1.487865, "dry_up": 1.203909, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087157, "annualized_volatility": 0.420441, "from_high_reference": -0.199028, "from_low_reference": 0.566857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 178.201745, "fair_value_reference": 162.695884, "structural_low": 129.13505, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.012264, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.026716, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.143752, "worst_return": -0.091451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.040452, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.04267, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.33957, "worst_return": -0.09273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.027744, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.133283, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.155348, "worst_return": -0.030426, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.035907, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.173336, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.100042, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.002511, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.085601, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.00898, "active": false }, { 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"close": 200.28, "volume": 1855117, "typical_volume": 2246419.15, "trend": 176.245199, "fair_value": 162.79495, "relative_strength": 18.836656, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.229277, "energy": 36.333007, "activity_lines": [ 206.748667, 208.912727, 199.657276, 189.236034 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 174.77, "volume": 4311799, "typical_volume": 2335772.85, "trend": 177.266685, "fair_value": 162.714078, "relative_strength": 2.91628, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.147669, "energy": 15.652855, "activity_lines": [ 195.766667, 202.703273, 198.378978, 189.140859 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 182.99, "volume": 2592261, "typical_volume": 2353860.35, "trend": 178.201745, "fair_value": 162.695884, "relative_strength": 2.244178, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.18112, "energy": 19.708608, "activity_lines": [ 189.820667, 198.338182, 197.754232, 189.510106 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }