{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f6e4c357-b03f-4979-a192-d529e7b18015", "symbol": "SSRM", "name": "SSR Mining Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 92.776, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -4.117, "architecture_energy": 14.906, "architecture_maturity": 24.577, "architecture_confidence": 55.273, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.71, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 14.46, "deceleration": 45.57, "rotation_down": 44.06, "downward_expansion": 49.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.112, 28.334364, 29.074667, 29.134624 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.78, "trend_reference": 28.702667, "distance_from_trend": 0.107214, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.382674, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.209603, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.683925, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.315397, "excess_performance": 0.127944, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107214, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082868, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.209603, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.386151, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.086839, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.247496, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.315397, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.79826, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21053353, "relative_activity": 1.302821, "balance": 0.79826, "dry_up": 1.014287, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132831, "annualized_volatility": 0.761941, "from_high_reference": -0.129673, "from_low_reference": 1.166326 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.702667, "fair_value_reference": 14.382674, "structural_low": 22.56, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.00559, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.033959, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.112628, "worst_return": -0.173829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.002198, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.14162, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.092526, "worst_return": -0.183358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.073378, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003966, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.826786, "worst_return": -0.190509, "sufficient": false }, { 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.732333, "energy": 10.784329, "activity_lines": [ 28.249333, 28.669091, 29.430476, 29.165226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.86, "volume": 13632128, "typical_volume": 16259768.35, "trend": 28.240333, "fair_value": 14.202843, "relative_strength": -1.395765, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.721615, "energy": 23.477608, "activity_lines": [ 27.529333, 28.254727, 29.179333, 29.084129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.62, "volume": 16072870, "typical_volume": 16205534.1, "trend": 28.377, "fair_value": 14.274537, "relative_strength": -7.151081, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.313668, "energy": 40.281727, "activity_lines": [ 26.668667, 27.697273, 28.827571, 28.915075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.78, "volume": 21053353, "typical_volume": 16159822.5, "trend": 28.702667, "fair_value": 14.382674, "relative_strength": 8.683925, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.116866, "energy": 14.905667, "activity_lines": [ 28.112, 28.334364, 29.074667, 29.134624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }