{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f6f40dd4-c4f9-428b-b04c-82536e1e8896", "symbol": "4714", "name": "U-Best Innovative Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.187, "architecture_energy": 84.3, "architecture_maturity": 88.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.178, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 13.06, "upward_expansion": 21.08, "deceleration": 37.47, "rotation_down": 74.49, "downward_expansion": 96.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.42, 10.98519, 12.028522, 12.824826 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 10.45, "trend_reference": 13.952848, "distance_from_trend": -0.251049, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.862762, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.380291, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.248052, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.358896, "excess_performance": -0.800268, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.251049, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109978, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.380291, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164452, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.542481, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053537, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.358896, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.879852, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2595194, "relative_activity": 0.412219, "balance": 0.879852, "dry_up": 0.61063, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099714, "annualized_volatility": 0.33389, "from_high_reference": -0.527927, "from_low_reference": 0.07732 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.952848, "fair_value_reference": 16.862762, "structural_low": 9.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.009103, "positive_rate": 0.423077, "directional_follow_through": 0.576923, "median_excess_return": -0.045468, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.224914, "worst_return": -0.128289, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.053962, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.028474, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.131455, "worst_return": -0.17193, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.130769, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.053252, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.247788, "worst_return": -0.309942, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"direction": -78.854071, "energy": 83.248575, "activity_lines": [ 11.366667, 12.010758, 12.893314, 13.61828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.0, "volume": 5556061, "typical_volume": 6588653.2, "trend": 14.377848, "fair_value": 16.901731, "relative_strength": -55.510356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.122126, "energy": 90.679553, "activity_lines": [ 10.823333, 11.559205, 12.553622, 13.320677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.4, "volume": 3181973, "typical_volume": 6448220.65, "trend": 14.157848, "fair_value": 16.883512, "relative_strength": -53.881872, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.012413, "energy": 86.143029, "activity_lines": [ 10.533333, 11.240379, 12.277739, 13.064042 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 10.45, "volume": 2595194, "typical_volume": 6295669.7, "trend": 13.952848, "fair_value": 16.862762, "relative_strength": -54.248052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.187241, "energy": 84.300334, "activity_lines": [ 10.42, 10.98519, 12.028522, 12.824826 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }