{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f70ff511-4fd1-4600-970f-53febc57741d", "symbol": "WBIO", "name": "WisdomTree BioRevolution UCITS ETF - USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.371, "architecture_energy": 33.326, "architecture_maturity": 48.634, "architecture_confidence": 63.076, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.92, "rotation_up": 38.28, "upward_expansion": 63.31, "deceleration": 67.98, "rotation_down": 24.76, "downward_expansion": 15.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 1681.566667, 1686.296364, 1625.814765, 1588.246239 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1725.1, "trend_reference": 1549.026669, "distance_from_trend": 0.113667, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1341.017632, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286411, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.590848, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.175457, "excess_performance": 0.124221, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.113667, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059205, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286411, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17482, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.095908, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035087, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.175457, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.94029, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26775, "relative_activity": 1.028554, "balance": 0.94029, "dry_up": 1.049422, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060269, "annualized_volatility": 0.230162, "from_high_reference": -0.065695, "from_low_reference": 0.620421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1549.026669, "fair_value_reference": 1341.017632, "structural_low": 1386.800049, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.0072, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.01226, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.115291, "worst_return": -0.047182, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.003219, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.040119, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.018664, "worst_return": -0.025103, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.006907, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.080336, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.006907, "worst_return": -0.006907, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.061368, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.000454, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.104669, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.028874, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.037073, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.055331, "active": false }, { 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78.25139, "activity_lines": [ 1718.12, 1661.520003, 1591.711432, 1561.001723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1671.4, "volume": 19842, "typical_volume": 29672.6, "trend": 1533.96667, "fair_value": 1338.100965, "relative_strength": 8.768701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.538754, "energy": 66.337361, "activity_lines": [ 1704.633333, 1672.57091, 1603.600003, 1570.364734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1627.1, "volume": 22955, "typical_volume": 26000.4, "trend": 1541.070003, "fair_value": 1339.06635, "relative_strength": 4.220595, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.019879, "energy": 36.815259, "activity_lines": [ 1672.666667, 1671.81091, 1610.438099, 1576.373336 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1725.1, "volume": 26775, "typical_volume": 26031.7, "trend": 1549.026669, "fair_value": 1341.017632, "relative_strength": 9.590848, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.370789, "energy": 33.325801, "activity_lines": [ 1681.566667, 1686.296364, 1625.814765, 1588.246239 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }