{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f71a14f5-013f-47c2-a157-f2b3c2ba1639", "symbol": "FTV", "name": "Fortive Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.659, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.405, "architecture_energy": 20.424, "architecture_maturity": 44.042, "architecture_confidence": 71.208, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.63, "rotation_up": 39.42, "upward_expansion": 65.19, "deceleration": 81.01, "rotation_down": 25.54, "downward_expansion": 15.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.205333, 61.410828, 60.769392, 59.901243 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 61.71, "trend_reference": 58.711146, "distance_from_trend": 0.051078, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 55.522069, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.11145, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.545857, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.028582, "excess_performance": -0.097043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051078, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045166, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.11145, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012676, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.005459, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01451, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028582, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.094534, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13366439, "relative_activity": 0.929046, "balance": 1.094534, "dry_up": 1.048838, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056638, "annualized_volatility": 0.218688, "from_high_reference": -0.044145, "from_low_reference": 0.338981 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.711146, "fair_value_reference": 55.522069, "structural_low": 53.428019, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.010458, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.007806, "regime_survival": 0.653846, "best_return": 0.09598, "worst_return": -0.116833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.011852, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": 0.001791, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.141317, "worst_return": -0.193641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.086068, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.059285, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.161778, "worst_return": -0.130313, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 62.31, "volume": 13011118, "typical_volume": 14631729.15, "trend": 58.352509, "fair_value": 55.493971, "relative_strength": 5.325106, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.021212, "energy": 40.42651, "activity_lines": [ 62.136667, 61.610728, 60.582758, 59.637771 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.21, "volume": 21761743, "typical_volume": 14768328.25, "trend": 58.483674, "fair_value": 55.504843, "relative_strength": -1.094549, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.231786, "energy": 20.891903, "activity_lines": [ 61.178667, 61.284755, 60.568915, 59.693093 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.71, "volume": 13366439, "typical_volume": 14387279.4, "trend": 58.711146, "fair_value": 55.522069, "relative_strength": -0.545857, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.404598, "energy": 20.42438, "activity_lines": [ 61.205333, 61.410828, 60.769392, 59.901243 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }