{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f73f7093-ca94-402a-8edb-9bd10df9d718", "symbol": "EFAS", "name": "GLOBAL X MSCI SUPERDIVIDEND EAFE ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.28, "architecture_energy": 88.056, "architecture_maturity": 10.598, "architecture_confidence": 70.745, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.29, "rotation_up": 83.26, "upward_expansion": 95.26, "deceleration": 41.86, "rotation_down": 8.42, "downward_expansion": 19.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.601854, 22.180486, 21.948624, 21.680809 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 23.0, "trend_reference": 21.247687, "distance_from_trend": 0.082471, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.669702, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.467801, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.77031, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.122829, "excess_performance": -0.064624, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082471, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056372, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.467801, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006316, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007703, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04185, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.122829, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.487215, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 290317, "relative_activity": 2.946223, "balance": 3.487215, "dry_up": 1.377893, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022513, "annualized_volatility": 0.120752, "from_high_reference": -0.001717, "from_low_reference": 0.304621 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.247687, "fair_value_reference": 15.669702, "structural_low": 19.858579, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.004628, "positive_rate": 0.59375, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": -0.007607, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.070692, "worst_return": -0.063396, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.041684, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.072204, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.124384, "worst_return": -0.054213, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.055805, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.034627, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.217727, "worst_return": -0.10098, "sufficient": true }, { 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"volume": 75039, "typical_volume": 98660.25, "trend": 21.003083, "fair_value": 15.523923, "relative_strength": 3.774067, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.129551, "energy": 54.803666, "activity_lines": [ 21.95767, 21.781869, 21.695182, 21.447427 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.740836, "volume": 106560, "typical_volume": 92556.7, "trend": 21.12033, "fair_value": 15.595766, "relative_strength": 4.734387, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.815027, "energy": 79.142428, "activity_lines": [ 22.286063, 21.964553, 21.815754, 21.55954 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.0, "volume": 290317, "typical_volume": 98538.7, "trend": 21.247687, "fair_value": 15.669702, "relative_strength": 0.77031, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.279989, "energy": 88.056462, "activity_lines": [ 22.601854, 22.180486, 21.948624, 21.680809 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }