{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f74d5530-753d-4d6b-a1df-db514eb0d7fb", "symbol": "FSLY", "name": "Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.563, "architecture_energy": 41.744, "architecture_maturity": 41.486, "architecture_confidence": 64.635, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.51, "rotation_up": 69.02, "upward_expansion": 71.82, "deceleration": 48.41, "rotation_down": 6.52, "downward_expansion": 10.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.812667, 20.472727, 20.183333, 20.591935 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.96, "trend_reference": 19.647833, "distance_from_trend": 0.168577, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.375929, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.855214, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 33.32335, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.679113, "excess_performance": 1.49166, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.168577, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180204, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.855214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173236, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.333233, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079508, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.679113, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.521948, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46580671, "relative_activity": 1.078991, "balance": 1.521948, "dry_up": 0.707795, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128308, "annualized_volatility": 1.394997, "from_high_reference": -0.340609, "from_low_reference": 2.429425 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.647833, "fair_value_reference": 12.375929, "structural_low": 8.22, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.00867, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.028423, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.067027, "worst_return": -0.293774, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.02809, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.013046, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 2.287537, "worst_return": -0.428988, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.303502, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.375622, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.779195, "worst_return": -0.603235, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 19.59, "volume": 20412139, "typical_volume": 49674536.9, "trend": 18.094167, "fair_value": 12.304519, "relative_strength": 20.664161, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.874877, "energy": 12.998098, "activity_lines": [ 18.41, 18.135091, 20.149905, 19.813097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.72, "volume": 33416548, "typical_volume": 48549910.35, "trend": 18.443833, "fair_value": 12.327147, "relative_strength": 31.238957, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.103056, "energy": 12.943775, "activity_lines": [ 19.231333, 18.612455, 20.073833, 19.982505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.24, "volume": 19559215, "typical_volume": 46066162.7, "trend": 18.777167, "fair_value": 12.343622, "relative_strength": 28.440796, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.18167, "energy": 14.008428, "activity_lines": [ 19.748, 18.998727, 19.944429, 20.098387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.66, "volume": 22667286, "typical_volume": 44156967.15, "trend": 19.192833, "fair_value": 12.354391, "relative_strength": 40.499985, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.696737, "energy": 26.414538, "activity_lines": [ 20.915333, 19.766091, 20.045024, 20.348892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.96, "volume": 46580671, "typical_volume": 43170588.15, "trend": 19.647833, "fair_value": 12.375929, "relative_strength": 33.32335, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.563064, "energy": 41.743897, "activity_lines": [ 21.812667, 20.472727, 20.183333, 20.591935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }