{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f75057ac-43a6-4924-aeb3-75e450517845", "symbol": "LSE", "name": "Leishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd. Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.366, "architecture_energy": 13.813, "architecture_maturity": 26.809, "architecture_confidence": 67.185, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.18, "rotation_up": 20.23, "upward_expansion": 16.19, "deceleration": 39.53, "rotation_down": 30.65, "downward_expansion": 52.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.358367, 4.322991, 4.420742, 4.526326 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.41, "trend_reference": 4.633574, "distance_from_trend": -0.048251, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.160649, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.145456, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.941691, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.019869, "excess_performance": -0.207323, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048251, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041178, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.145456, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075071, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209417, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004917, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.019869, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.190578, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13480, "relative_activity": 0.222638, "balance": 0.190578, "dry_up": 0.697966, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.21202, "annualized_volatility": 0.452703, "from_high_reference": -0.368195, "from_low_reference": 0.378125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.633574, "fair_value_reference": 5.160649, "structural_low": 3.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.03864, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.070189, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.03864, "worst_return": 0.03864, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.052506, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 4.9799, "volume": 2333406, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 4.76, "volume": 351046, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": 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4.551063, 4.613264 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.43, "volume": 28448, "typical_volume": 86878.25, "trend": 4.63318, "fair_value": 5.199927, "relative_strength": -23.596378, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.983629, "energy": 19.902877, "activity_lines": [ 4.312333, 4.293223, 4.526368, 4.599188 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.3999, "volume": 10613, "typical_volume": 87076.3, "trend": 4.639844, "fair_value": 5.190288, "relative_strength": -20.109691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.99461, "energy": 15.015694, "activity_lines": [ 4.373967, 4.296888, 4.500187, 4.584138 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.3519, "volume": 56042, "typical_volume": 62541.7, "trend": 4.63924, "fair_value": 5.180307, "relative_strength": -19.012551, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.418181, "energy": 15.21694, "activity_lines": [ 4.389273, 4.301555, 4.470387, 4.565561 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.26, "volume": 88903, "typical_volume": 61365.75, "trend": 4.638907, "fair_value": 5.16948, "relative_strength": -20.402676, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.827299, "energy": 14.372937, "activity_lines": [ 4.351153, 4.294387, 4.436731, 4.541094 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.41, "volume": 13480, "typical_volume": 60546.65, "trend": 4.633574, "fair_value": 5.160649, "relative_strength": -20.941691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.366072, "energy": 13.812786, "activity_lines": [ 4.358367, 4.322991, 4.420742, 4.526326 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }