{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f755eb7e-738c-4ccd-b52b-fcd4604a0d37",
    "symbol": "EQX",
    "name": "Equinox Gold Corp.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.272,
    "architecture_energy": 49.79,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.08,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.222,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.69,
        "rotation_up": 25.75,
        "upward_expansion": 7.71,
        "deceleration": 60.1,
        "rotation_down": 52.02,
        "downward_expansion": 81.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.888,
        13.908727,
        15.293603,
        16.530949
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 16.16,
    "trend_reference": 18.089282,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.106653,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 10.880211,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.485265,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.00815,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.188231,
    "excess_performance": -0.308653,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.106653,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079558,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.485265,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.433905,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.170082,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.295921,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188231,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.002141,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 31977000,
      "relative_activity": 1.940819,
      "balance": 1.002141,
      "dry_up": 1.522682,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.11574,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.781449,
      "from_high_reference": -0.373994,
      "from_low_reference": 0.867911
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.089282,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.880211,
      "structural_low": 11.91,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.004342,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031207,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.380068,
        "worst_return": -0.274359,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.068129,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022519,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.770023,
        "worst_return": -0.403846,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.043796,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065218,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 1.534325,
        "worst_return": -0.328431,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.23277,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.083797,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.499789,
        "worst_return": -0.341861,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.121175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.055772,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.058901,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "return": -0.199588,
        "active": false
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        "return": 0.084596,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 14403100.0,
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        "fair_value": 10.740384,
        "relative_strength": -35.366445,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -83.643123,
        "energy": 86.171896,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.08,
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        "typical_volume": 14355685.0,
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        "fair_value": 10.781502,
        "relative_strength": -30.471994,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.85815,
        "energy": 75.71541,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.266,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.56,
        "volume": 39800800,
        "typical_volume": 15847420.0,
        "trend": 18.204541,
        "fair_value": 10.818967,
        "relative_strength": -33.081675,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.7008,
        "energy": 70.830807,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.935333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.16,
        "volume": 31977000,
        "typical_volume": 16476030.0,
        "trend": 18.089282,
        "fair_value": 10.880211,
        "relative_strength": -17.00815,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.272225,
        "energy": 49.790092,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}