{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f75667af-b2d2-4659-8a86-87050870c076", "symbol": "EXE", "name": "Expand Energy Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.617, "architecture_energy": 20.651, "architecture_maturity": 88.948, "architecture_confidence": 73.502, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.9, "rotation_up": 27.6, "upward_expansion": 19.49, "deceleration": 46.8, "rotation_down": 26.81, "downward_expansion": 58.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 91.892667, 90.641636, 91.98909, 94.771437 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 92.84, "trend_reference": 98.398025, "distance_from_trend": -0.056485, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 91.362834, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016168, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.081478, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.149266, "excess_performance": -0.33672, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.056485, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068735, "read": "Falling" 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98.426885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 90.72, "volume": 19076467, "typical_volume": 17826987.65, "trend": 101.149781, "fair_value": 90.921882, "relative_strength": -23.004185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.11583, "energy": 74.304559, "activity_lines": [ 89.203333, 91.093708, 94.792635, 97.687848 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 87.25, "volume": 22602612, "typical_volume": 17669527.85, "trend": 100.34071, "fair_value": 91.003407, "relative_strength": -26.712802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.72445, "energy": 72.254855, "activity_lines": [ 88.485333, 90.05678, 93.730739, 96.791088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 88.13, "volume": 19708240, "typical_volume": 17703331.8, "trend": 99.694454, "fair_value": 91.07897, "relative_strength": -22.199744, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.320998, "energy": 52.634976, "activity_lines": [ 88.382, 89.403091, 92.845964, 96.0033 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 91.52, "volume": 18636538, "typical_volume": 17868202.85, "trend": 99.13648, "fair_value": 91.168078, "relative_strength": -17.557507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.90455, "energy": 41.561154, "activity_lines": [ 89.452, 89.497455, 92.372507, 95.475916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 94.03, "volume": 22108070, "typical_volume": 18083887.25, "trend": 98.652944, "fair_value": 91.268033, "relative_strength": -15.334063, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.269961, "energy": 30.229011, "activity_lines": [ 91.056, 90.142182, 92.208043, 95.146466 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.84, "volume": 13327089, "typical_volume": 17261635.15, "trend": 98.398025, "fair_value": 91.362834, "relative_strength": -20.081478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.61656, "energy": 20.650699, "activity_lines": [ 91.892667, 90.641636, 91.98909, 94.771437 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }