{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f75d58bb-02e3-4623-93ac-1b5fd33ad4bc", "symbol": "000429", "name": "Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.033, "architecture_energy": 63.521, "architecture_maturity": 35.009, "architecture_confidence": 84.365, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.45, "rotation_up": 71.74, "upward_expansion": 87.27, "deceleration": 46.53, "rotation_down": 12.76, "downward_expansion": 11.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.502667, 14.202545, 13.807048, 13.484323 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 14.8, "trend_reference": 13.009667, "distance_from_trend": 0.137616, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.085017, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335136, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.797463, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.21411, "excess_performance": 0.20671, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.137616, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051513, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.335136, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126638, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.147975, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.322153, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.21411, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.057397, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54054281, "relative_activity": 1.80214, "balance": 5.057397, "dry_up": 1.677276, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056861, "annualized_volatility": 0.188229, "from_high_reference": -0.03268, "from_low_reference": 0.404175 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.009667, "fair_value_reference": 11.085017, "structural_low": 11.95, "invalidation": 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15.347106, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.61066, "energy": 50.018709, "activity_lines": [ 13.918667, 13.761636, 13.433048, 13.14529 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.38, "volume": 43640461, "typical_volume": 27930403.75, "trend": 12.83, "fair_value": 10.983958, "relative_strength": 15.488914, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.100089, "energy": 49.693931, "activity_lines": [ 14.096667, 13.895091, 13.548381, 13.25071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.56, "volume": 63721277, "typical_volume": 29273076.0, "trend": 12.909, "fair_value": 11.03407, "relative_strength": 18.804667, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.679051, "energy": 50.169087, "activity_lines": [ 14.28, 14.038545, 13.671095, 13.362323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.8, "volume": 54054281, "typical_volume": 29994504.2, "trend": 13.009667, "fair_value": 11.085017, "relative_strength": 14.797463, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.033087, "energy": 63.521361, "activity_lines": [ 14.502667, 14.202545, 13.807048, 13.484323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }