{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f769b4cd-a436-4661-aa61-728d882e458c", "symbol": "MVFG", "name": "MONARCH VOLUME FACTOR GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED INDEX ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.071, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.292, "architecture_energy": 57.693, "architecture_maturity": 36.902, "architecture_confidence": 78.32, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.23, "rotation_up": 58.44, "upward_expansion": 83.07, "deceleration": 51.42, "rotation_down": 21.41, "downward_expansion": 9.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.9994, 34.843338, 34.544903, 34.208241 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.5526, "trend_reference": 33.90296, "distance_from_trend": 0.048658, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.560936, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244798, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.355372, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.04341, "excess_performance": -0.082215, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048658, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041182, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.244798, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015976, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.023554, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017147, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.04341, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.696509, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46965, "relative_activity": 0.642105, "balance": 0.696509, "dry_up": 1.240785, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019449, "annualized_volatility": 0.130384, "from_high_reference": -0.003571, "from_low_reference": 0.31579 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.90296, "fair_value_reference": 28.560936, "structural_low": 31.18, 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34.474736, 34.023282, 33.804031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 34.7182, "volume": 82795, "typical_volume": 73921.55, "trend": 33.520889, "fair_value": 28.354236, "relative_strength": -2.06932, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.899178, "energy": 47.341326, "activity_lines": [ 34.68983, 34.547768, 34.12044, 33.888838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.6808, "volume": 195021, "typical_volume": 78981.0, "trend": 33.63753, "fair_value": 28.405256, "relative_strength": -0.724146, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.010799, "energy": 39.372512, "activity_lines": [ 34.682855, 34.596295, 34.21216, 33.963671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.5898, "volume": 69346, "typical_volume": 75431.35, "trend": 33.730964, "fair_value": 28.454733, "relative_strength": -0.475245, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.996191, "energy": 37.81546, "activity_lines": [ 34.654453, 34.620493, 34.293755, 34.025108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.8447, "volume": 51683, "typical_volume": 74270.35, "trend": 33.827774, "fair_value": 28.505447, "relative_strength": -0.915007, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.726211, "energy": 38.523544, "activity_lines": [ 34.723433, 34.673131, 34.391665, 34.096962 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.5526, "volume": 46965, "typical_volume": 73142.2, "trend": 33.90296, "fair_value": 28.560936, "relative_strength": -2.355372, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.29223, "energy": 57.692661, "activity_lines": [ 34.9994, 34.843338, 34.544903, 34.208241 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }