{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f76d15b7-6580-4e87-bd79-e50b8249d472", "symbol": "300260", "name": "Kunshan Kinglai Hygienic Materials Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.628, "architecture_energy": 26.349, "architecture_maturity": 59.853, "architecture_confidence": 70.484, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.34, "rotation_up": 14.74, "upward_expansion": 23.92, "deceleration": 76.16, "rotation_down": 62.0, "downward_expansion": 34.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.041139, 66.871916, 66.079072, 62.931945 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 59.279999, "trend_reference": 59.919032, "distance_from_trend": -0.010665, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.408268, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.628202, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.271058, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107416, "excess_performance": 0.100017, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010665, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10617, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.628202, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046881, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.052711, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091396, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107416, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.101742, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 134221744, "relative_activity": 1.527041, "balance": 1.101742, "dry_up": 1.498941, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.252052, "annualized_volatility": 0.856569, "from_high_reference": -0.390551, "from_low_reference": 0.877137 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.919032, "fair_value_reference": 36.408268, "structural_low": 43.009998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.082265, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.041824, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.256762, "worst_return": -0.189614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.146023, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.003083, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.625628, "worst_return": -0.006039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.256917, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.273852, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.842936, "worst_return": -0.308333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.422425, "energy": 50.003772, "activity_lines": [ 79.254233, 77.135969, 68.395133, 64.163995 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 56.18, "volume": 109695781, "typical_volume": 75352091.8, "trend": 60.211365, "fair_value": 36.147043, "relative_strength": 4.439531, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.691713, "energy": 16.121766, "activity_lines": [ 70.443741, 73.952133, 67.862128, 63.911347 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.59, "volume": 200507899, "typical_volume": 83160446.5, "trend": 59.839365, "fair_value": 36.220702, "relative_strength": -14.15423, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.895296, "energy": 22.55117, "activity_lines": [ 59.885739, 68.974661, 66.306886, 62.968033 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.279999, "volume": 134221744, "typical_volume": 87896639.85, "trend": 59.919032, "fair_value": 36.408268, "relative_strength": 5.271058, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.628366, "energy": 26.34927, "activity_lines": [ 57.041139, 66.871916, 66.079072, 62.931945 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }