{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f786496e-19db-4cb1-9ed3-dcc1753b4548", "symbol": "RRBI", "name": "Red River Bancshares Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.381, "architecture_energy": 73.85, "architecture_maturity": 16.364, "architecture_confidence": 83.751, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.66, "rotation_up": 78.19, "upward_expansion": 94.25, "deceleration": 39.43, "rotation_down": 10.04, "downward_expansion": 16.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.497, 97.172174, 94.717579, 93.228996 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 100.11, "trend_reference": 90.634134, "distance_from_trend": 0.104551, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 61.128014, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.637711, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.140612, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.105822, "excess_performance": -0.081632, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104551, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101274, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.637711, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053317, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.091406, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032074, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105822, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.297296, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 265486, "relative_activity": 0.65562, "balance": 4.297296, "dry_up": 1.110612, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048024, "annualized_volatility": 0.149919, "from_high_reference": -0.03266, "from_low_reference": 0.657908 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 90.634134, "fair_value_reference": 61.128014, "structural_low": 82.842011, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.011212, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.016327, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.187929, "worst_return": -0.082888, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.018862, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.039534, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.300654, "worst_return": -0.11103, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.03366, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.005694, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.333258, "worst_return": -0.141438, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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60.48026, "activity_lines": [ 95.228, 93.486956, 92.447522, 91.033755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 99.49, "volume": 514674, "typical_volume": 398714.9, "trend": 88.657586, "fair_value": 60.462799, "relative_strength": 15.871743, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.370987, "energy": 69.519182, "activity_lines": [ 97.135, 94.804741, 93.214385, 91.789591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 100.55, "volume": 562566, "typical_volume": 414142.95, "trend": 89.691643, "fair_value": 60.798693, "relative_strength": 15.759274, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.883654, "energy": 73.732384, "activity_lines": [ 98.682667, 96.120266, 94.019647, 92.556844 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 100.11, "volume": 265486, "typical_volume": 404939.0, "trend": 90.634134, "fair_value": 61.128014, "relative_strength": 9.140612, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.381419, "energy": 73.849986, "activity_lines": [ 99.497, 97.172174, 94.717579, 93.228996 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }