{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f78c2e06-528d-4ba3-9589-21be0ec6e3e9", "symbol": "UMH", "name": "UMH Properties Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.404, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.094, "architecture_energy": 38.714, "architecture_maturity": 37.507, "architecture_confidence": 79.15, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.42, "rotation_up": 54.55, "upward_expansion": 78.68, "deceleration": 52.06, "rotation_down": 19.37, "downward_expansion": 7.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.548, 15.476727, 15.378448, 15.268113 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.9, "trend_reference": 15.23223, "distance_from_trend": 0.043839, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.114469, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.051972, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.537759, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.028628, "excess_performance": -0.096997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043839, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0071, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.051972, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010875, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055378, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031261, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028628, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.407991, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3789433, "relative_activity": 1.192896, "balance": 1.407991, "dry_up": 0.834872, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041723, "annualized_volatility": 0.205414, "from_high_reference": -0.017664, "from_low_reference": 0.191036 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.23223, "fair_value_reference": 15.114469, "structural_low": 13.723149, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"2026-07-10", "close": 15.28, "volume": 2107410, "typical_volume": 3183873.9, "trend": 15.223742, "fair_value": 15.068058, "relative_strength": -8.42265, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.75537, "energy": 15.084907, "activity_lines": [ 15.348667, 15.288818, 15.203251, 15.18257 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.69, "volume": 2416293, "typical_volume": 3175089.95, "trend": 15.233112, "fair_value": 15.080111, "relative_strength": -4.106523, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.589173, "energy": 32.471948, "activity_lines": [ 15.472667, 15.365636, 15.265431, 15.212652 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.54, "volume": 2149352, "typical_volume": 3110884.85, "trend": 15.234244, "fair_value": 15.091367, "relative_strength": -4.115772, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.346064, "energy": 31.691754, "activity_lines": [ 15.519333, 15.413273, 15.309355, 15.232451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.11, "volume": 2253361, "typical_volume": 3113902.9, "trend": 15.222985, "fair_value": 15.099594, "relative_strength": -7.399853, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.491166, "energy": 19.983613, "activity_lines": [ 15.390667, 15.371455, 15.307896, 15.224435 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.9, "volume": 3789433, "typical_volume": 3176666.35, "trend": 15.23223, "fair_value": 15.114469, "relative_strength": -5.537759, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.094498, "energy": 38.714203, "activity_lines": [ 15.548, 15.476727, 15.378448, 15.268113 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }