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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.213, "architecture_energy": 95.947, "architecture_maturity": 42.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.944, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 89.15, "upward_expansion": 99.93, "deceleration": 39.02, "rotation_down": 8.11, "downward_expansion": 21.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.586, 5.934182, 5.142905, 4.759634 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 7.19, "trend_reference": 4.371, "distance_from_trend": 0.644933, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.366731, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.339736, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 52.218457, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.7975, "excess_performance": 0.671875, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.644933, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.175211, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.339736, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.570981, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.522185, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.610971, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.7975, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.192175, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 667073, "relative_activity": 2.065843, "balance": 4.192175, "dry_up": 2.055405, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083617, "annualized_volatility": 0.478733, "from_high_reference": -0.025745, "from_low_reference": 1.429054 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.371, "fair_value_reference": 5.366731, "structural_low": 3.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, 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"volume": 478862, "typical_volume": 274685.4, "trend": 4.154333, "fair_value": 5.376603, "relative_strength": 40.884023, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.798455, "energy": 94.35416, "activity_lines": [ 5.890667, 5.261818, 4.678381, 4.42514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.4, "volume": 574237, "typical_volume": 296541.5, "trend": 4.251, "fair_value": 5.369615, "relative_strength": 41.217375, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.503154, "energy": 92.229339, "activity_lines": [ 6.16, 5.547636, 4.879619, 4.570022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.19, "volume": 667073, "typical_volume": 322906.0, "trend": 4.371, "fair_value": 5.366731, "relative_strength": 52.218457, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.212934, "energy": 95.947052, "activity_lines": [ 6.586, 5.934182, 5.142905, 4.759634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }