{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f78d0c89-b4f0-4e88-ba7f-e263a5b52124",
    "symbol": "JKHY",
    "name": "Jack Henry & Associates Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 87.387,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 27.728,
    "architecture_energy": 32.706,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.186,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.888,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.96,
        "rotation_up": 67.93,
        "upward_expansion": 41.79,
        "deceleration": 31.32,
        "rotation_down": 14.29,
        "downward_expansion": 21.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        153.420667,
        148.249455,
        144.55278,
        147.32169
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 155.95,
    "trend_reference": 153.319532,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.017157,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 162.465339,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040103,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -14.129602,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.093214,
    "excess_performance": -0.280667,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017157,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067337,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040103,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072647,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.141296,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13498,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093214,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.845425,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4417343,
      "relative_activity": 0.701263,
      "balance": 0.845425,
      "dry_up": 0.780721,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067094,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.323127,
      "from_high_reference": -0.187132,
      "from_low_reference": 0.288417
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 153.319532,
      "fair_value_reference": 162.465339,
      "structural_low": 121.04,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.004822,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006704,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.10114,
        "worst_return": -0.097553,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.04629,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02981,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.189918,
        "worst_return": -0.082982,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.015657,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.269869,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.130502,
        "worst_return": -0.278228,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.013524,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.314857,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.087078,
        "worst_return": -0.089217,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002872,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.080772,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050295,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017598,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.051432,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007242,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.057645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.018491,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.057135,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.004416,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 6401403.95,
        "trend": 156.275065,
        "fair_value": 162.645196,
        "relative_strength": -14.629489,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -14.476555,
        "energy": 23.665688,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 150.58,
        "volume": 4631448,
        "typical_volume": 6385377.85,
        "trend": 155.139419,
        "fair_value": 162.575197,
        "relative_strength": -13.294935,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.469398,
        "energy": 23.027455,
        "activity_lines": [
          149.285333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 154.04,
        "volume": 4437568,
        "typical_volume": 6345997.65,
        "trend": 154.376376,
        "fair_value": 162.522332,
        "relative_strength": -11.284991,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 5.483498,
        "energy": 24.437841,
        "activity_lines": [
          151.669333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 155.95,
        "volume": 4417343,
        "typical_volume": 6299120.75,
        "trend": 153.319532,
        "fair_value": 162.465339,
        "relative_strength": -14.129602,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.727854,
        "energy": 32.706025,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}