{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f799fbf4-96f0-4a0f-8304-2d1236d64b86", "symbol": "000788", "name": "PKU HealthCare Corp.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.202, "architecture_energy": 29.313, "architecture_maturity": 57.708, "architecture_confidence": 82.754, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.4, "rotation_up": 26.06, "upward_expansion": 15.69, "deceleration": 44.87, "rotation_down": 31.48, "downward_expansion": 61.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.232, 5.193091, 5.378143, 5.574524 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.4, "trend_reference": 5.811441, "distance_from_trend": -0.070798, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.815195, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.071398, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.822299, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.120808, "excess_performance": -0.128207, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070798, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057536, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.071398, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117949, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.128223, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057128, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.120808, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.711812, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70676798, "relative_activity": 0.50161, "balance": 0.711812, "dry_up": 0.67558, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074217, "annualized_volatility": 0.424638, "from_high_reference": -0.312102, "from_low_reference": 0.122661 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.811441, "fair_value_reference": 5.815195, "structural_low": 4.81, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.023402, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": 0.046119, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.20137, "worst_return": -0.140984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.013423, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.056873, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.29533, "worst_return": -0.058019, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.07249, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.022514, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.224299, "worst_return": -0.08736, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 5.192, 5.208909, 5.527155, 5.705408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.97, "volume": 103349658, "typical_volume": 139516115.85, "trend": 5.860436, "fair_value": 5.829928, "relative_strength": -18.267807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.160301, "energy": 47.718964, "activity_lines": [ 5.128667, 5.153091, 5.451476, 5.644854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.2, "volume": 70034400, "typical_volume": 140036553.6, "trend": 5.829685, "fair_value": 5.821951, "relative_strength": -12.473942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.731697, "energy": 35.797002, "activity_lines": [ 5.16, 5.151818, 5.40319, 5.602245 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.4, "volume": 70676798, "typical_volume": 140899861.35, "trend": 5.811441, "fair_value": 5.815195, "relative_strength": -12.822299, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.201795, "energy": 29.313368, "activity_lines": [ 5.232, 5.193091, 5.378143, 5.574524 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }