{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f79cf689-88b0-44b9-a9f0-2ad9af77ad95", "symbol": "EGLX", "name": "Enthusiast Gaming Holdings Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.751, "architecture_energy": 19.437, "architecture_maturity": 59.909, "architecture_confidence": 77.575, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.68, "rotation_up": 22.36, "upward_expansion": 56.04, "deceleration": 88.11, "rotation_down": 39.94, "downward_expansion": 22.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.054, 0.058, 0.056786, 0.052817 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.05, "trend_reference": 0.048667, "distance_from_trend": 0.027397, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.145564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.656509, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.607263, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.111111, "excess_performance": -0.00931, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027397, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061818, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.656509, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138215, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216073, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218988, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.111111, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.934352, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 179600, "relative_activity": 0.477133, "balance": 6.934352, "dry_up": 0.362366, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.238462, "annualized_volatility": 1.047735, "from_high_reference": -0.6, "from_low_reference": 0.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.048667, "fair_value_reference": 0.145564, "structural_low": 0.03, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.142857, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.136518, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.176471, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.294118, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.392782, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.294118, "worst_return": -0.294118, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.529412, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.731603, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.529412, "worst_return": -0.529412, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.701031, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.242424, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.130435, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.235294, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.333333, "active": false 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"relative_strength": -11.470641, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.035076, "energy": 35.749431, "activity_lines": [ 0.063667, 0.063727, 0.0565, 0.05214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.05, "volume": 48600, "typical_volume": 366540.0, "trend": 0.048167, "fair_value": 0.153929, "relative_strength": -24.064692, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.063291, "energy": 23.904123, "activity_lines": [ 0.059333, 0.061545, 0.0565, 0.05228 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.055, "volume": 303400, "typical_volume": 380870.0, "trend": 0.0485, "fair_value": 0.149795, "relative_strength": -13.730694, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.767339, "energy": 18.247223, "activity_lines": [ 0.057333, 0.060182, 0.056929, 0.05272 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.05, "volume": 179600, "typical_volume": 376415.0, "trend": 0.048667, "fair_value": 0.145564, "relative_strength": -21.607263, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.750747, "energy": 19.43665, "activity_lines": [ 0.054, 0.058, 0.056786, 0.052817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }