{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7ac0bbf-072c-49af-bac2-415e307e880b", "symbol": "BRFH", "name": "Barfresh Food Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.194, "architecture_energy": 71.715, "architecture_maturity": 68.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.51, "rotation_up": 18.37, "upward_expansion": 15.59, "deceleration": 42.2, "rotation_down": 67.67, "downward_expansion": 91.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.782667, 1.865636, 2.069778, 2.239035 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.84, "trend_reference": 2.47551, "distance_from_trend": -0.256719, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.551304, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.2788, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.777596, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.342857, "excess_performance": -0.530311, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.256719, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133779, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.2788, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243448, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.427776, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095355, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.342857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.292782, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25541, "relative_activity": 0.620506, "balance": 0.292782, "dry_up": 0.870022, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123286, "annualized_volatility": 0.384191, "from_high_reference": -0.697368, "from_low_reference": 0.128834 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.47551, "fair_value_reference": 2.551304, "structural_low": 1.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.053694, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.045069, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.669643, "worst_return": -0.456349, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.061538, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.145557, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 2.740741, "worst_return": -0.551724, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.192308, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.030956, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.992593, "worst_return": -0.751434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.310345, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076087, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.011538, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.116711, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.034483, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.31769, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.00625, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.11039, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.315985, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.01, "volume": 39959, "typical_volume": 53593.5, "trend": 1.40075, "fair_value": 4.155852, "relative_strength": -0.449651, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.180374, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.625426, "energy": 77.994113, "activity_lines": [ 1.996667, 2.102, 2.300698, 2.446737 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.85, "volume": 32767, "typical_volume": 40761.2, "trend": 2.59901, "fair_value": 2.550406, "relative_strength": -42.166832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.546184, "energy": 77.318624, "activity_lines": [ 1.936667, 2.039, 2.24342, 2.396371 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.75, "volume": 34731, "typical_volume": 41322.0, "trend": 2.56801, "fair_value": 2.55265, "relative_strength": -43.72311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.92243, "energy": 79.853814, "activity_lines": [ 1.865333, 1.968, 2.180619, 2.341596 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.66, "volume": 50207, "typical_volume": 41891.0, "trend": 2.521677, "fair_value": 2.553355, "relative_strength": -46.316967, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.728404, "energy": 85.960473, "activity_lines": [ 1.78, 1.893364, 2.113627, 2.283014 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.84, "volume": 25541, "typical_volume": 41161.6, "trend": 2.47551, "fair_value": 2.551304, "relative_strength": -42.777596, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.193664, "energy": 71.714744, "activity_lines": [ 1.782667, 1.865636, 2.069778, 2.239035 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }