{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f7ac7ec5-a404-45e6-9c75-0ffabf2effc8",
    "symbol": "688156",
    "name": "Road Biology Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 57.722,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.389,
    "architecture_energy": 41.169,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.091,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.221,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.8,
        "rotation_up": 16.72,
        "upward_expansion": 21.09,
        "deceleration": 57.39,
        "rotation_down": 66.81,
        "downward_expansion": 43.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.402,
        23.156727,
        24.546333,
        24.177591
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 21.1,
    "trend_reference": 23.152,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.088632,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.771085,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.124069,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.779844,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.094966,
    "excess_performance": 0.13817,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088632,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120782,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124069,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.248622,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007798,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.259748,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094966,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.504704,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15197234,
      "relative_activity": 0.850074,
      "balance": 0.504704,
      "dry_up": 1.02066,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.171199,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.560366,
      "from_high_reference": -0.362345,
      "from_low_reference": 0.440273
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.152,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.771085,
      "structural_low": 17.559999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.15695,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.086825,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.211765,
        "worst_return": -0.022588,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.38669,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.328178,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.397311,
        "worst_return": 0.376069,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.830652,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.810268,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.011121,
        "worst_return": 0.650183,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 1.176836,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 1.102896,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.176836,
        "worst_return": 1.176836,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.453665,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.120127,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024354,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01419,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.265991,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.303846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.138155,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019536,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.203623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004632,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.016996,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.121588,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 17656060.0,
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        "fair_value": 18.912919,
        "relative_strength": 3.804428,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 19.51,
        "volume": 20508383,
        "typical_volume": 17789021.9,
        "trend": 22.905,
        "fair_value": 18.868624,
        "relative_strength": -5.758004,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -12.771586,
        "energy": 23.530639,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.355333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.379999,
        "volume": 17168540,
        "typical_volume": 17920637.5,
        "trend": 22.982333,
        "fair_value": 18.81524,
        "relative_strength": -11.356601,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.35744,
        "energy": 43.933078,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.038,
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          24.888238,
          24.299032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.1,
        "volume": 15197234,
        "typical_volume": 17877532.55,
        "trend": 23.152,
        "fair_value": 18.771085,
        "relative_strength": -0.779844,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.389253,
        "energy": 41.169223,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}