{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f7b1826c-a57d-40b9-90f1-ecf1b84eaaa5",
    "symbol": "MORG",
    "name": "Sparebanken M\u00f8re",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 57.219,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 32.927,
    "architecture_energy": 16.306,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.51,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.083,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.77,
        "rotation_up": 38.43,
        "upward_expansion": 52.61,
        "deceleration": 65.33,
        "rotation_down": 16.93,
        "downward_expansion": 18.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 112.559998,
    "trend_reference": 110.410426,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.019469,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 87.149908,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.291568,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.20419,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.037674,
    "excess_performance": -0.087319,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019469,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032726,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.291568,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082423,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052042,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017979,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037674,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.822599,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 2.945914,
      "balance": 1.822599,
      "dry_up": 1.394615,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024821,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.14498,
      "from_high_reference": -0.055229,
      "from_low_reference": 0.207819
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 110.410426,
      "fair_value_reference": 87.149908,
      "structural_low": 104.304182,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.005484,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02608,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.071275,
        "worst_return": -0.094765,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.051274,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.06354,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 115.0,
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        "typical_volume": 97000.3,
        "trend": 104.356564,
        "fair_value": 82.294473,
        "relative_strength": -4.090803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 73.805562,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 100831.7,
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        "relative_strength": -5.077309,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 104872,
        "typical_volume": 100311.5,
        "trend": 105.320517,
        "fair_value": 82.969984,
        "relative_strength": -3.406263,
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        "energy": 63.071526,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 99259.4,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 43.569646,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 114.400002,
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        "typical_volume": 98372.9,
        "trend": 106.295793,
        "fair_value": 83.637384,
        "relative_strength": -6.164024,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.311752,
        "energy": 38.910199,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 112.800003,
        "volume": 95844,
        "typical_volume": 96192.2,
        "trend": 106.911639,
        "fair_value": 83.969715,
        "relative_strength": -5.313669,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 7827,
        "typical_volume": 92929.9,
        "trend": 107.448602,
        "fair_value": 84.30248,
        "relative_strength": -5.724327,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 23.244927,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 111.699997,
        "volume": 4993,
        "typical_volume": 87487.6,
        "trend": 107.996339,
        "fair_value": 84.626107,
        "relative_strength": -5.730718,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 20.041911,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 81770.6,
        "trend": 108.520106,
        "fair_value": 84.930469,
        "relative_strength": -5.383324,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 3392,
        "typical_volume": 79082.15,
        "trend": 108.94731,
        "fair_value": 85.23367,
        "relative_strength": -2.796563,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.185163,
        "energy": 14.186273,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 110.400002,
        "volume": 13816,
        "typical_volume": 77547.2,
        "trend": 109.388831,
        "fair_value": 85.545091,
        "relative_strength": -4.004312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.810276,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 111.779999,
        "volume": 123714,
        "typical_volume": 73891.25,
        "trend": 109.829818,
        "fair_value": 85.870419,
        "relative_strength": -2.037224,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.435741,
        "energy": 15.566307,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.642667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 111.739998,
        "volume": 16877,
        "typical_volume": 71872.45,
        "trend": 110.064474,
        "fair_value": 86.194303,
        "relative_strength": -3.179673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.594253,
        "energy": 10.16413,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.032,
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          112.008439,
          111.261413
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 109.720001,
        "volume": 69906,
        "typical_volume": 72705.65,
        "trend": 110.200354,
        "fair_value": 86.505238,
        "relative_strength": -7.093836,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.445536,
        "energy": 4.896784,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.745333,
          110.873455,
          111.806437,
          111.239189
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 111.5,
        "volume": 130654,
        "typical_volume": 74377.6,
        "trend": 110.181765,
        "fair_value": 86.820355,
        "relative_strength": -5.894692,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.267488,
        "energy": 11.385375,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.037333,
          110.894546,
          111.755894,
          111.323037
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 112.559998,
        "volume": 243320,
        "typical_volume": 82595.75,
        "trend": 110.410426,
        "fair_value": 87.149908,
        "relative_strength": -5.20419,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.926501,
        "energy": 16.306443,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.547999,
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          111.813002,
          111.476472
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}