{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7b3c400-b098-4078-9076-8bd3cbd217d3", "symbol": "GOMERO", "name": "Gomero Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 91.321, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -4.163, "architecture_energy": 16.499, "architecture_maturity": 20.697, "architecture_confidence": 53.726, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.85, "rotation_up": 42.29, "upward_expansion": 34.76, "deceleration": 43.13, "rotation_down": 18.4, "downward_expansion": 43.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.593333, 13.109091, 13.059285, 13.260869 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.75, "trend_reference": 14.019754, "distance_from_trend": -0.019241, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.318268, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102379, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.750366, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.277045, "excess_performance": -0.33854, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.019241, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119172, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.102379, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033666, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.267504, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106613, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.277045, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.868342, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9674, "relative_activity": 0.534778, "balance": 2.868342, "dry_up": 0.667933, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093811, "annualized_volatility": 0.38768, "from_high_reference": -0.498752, "from_low_reference": 0.27436 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.019754, "fair_value_reference": 15.318268, "structural_low": 10.789726, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.015294, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.040531, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.420561, "worst_return": -0.223958, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.071429, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.15849, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.465517, "worst_return": -0.364035, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.113227, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.031581, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.864486, "worst_return": -0.393478, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.446281, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.024259, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.158163, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.002907, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.048035, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-09-05", 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12.823254, 13.469524 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.0, "volume": 21768, "typical_volume": 22970.8, "trend": 14.480571, "fair_value": 15.260818, "relative_strength": -30.531188, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.139655, "energy": 32.416854, "activity_lines": [ 12.476667, 12.547273, 12.823337, 13.362828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.0, "volume": 10304, "typical_volume": 21848.7, "trend": 14.348316, "fair_value": 15.282102, "relative_strength": -25.409724, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.273735, "energy": 10.807276, "activity_lines": [ 13.003333, 12.773636, 12.922283, 13.331824 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.7, "volume": 6585, "typical_volume": 20234.2, "trend": 14.20149, "fair_value": 15.302614, "relative_strength": -26.938231, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.583761, "energy": 15.460242, "activity_lines": [ 13.346667, 12.94, 12.990651, 13.289997 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.75, "volume": 9674, "typical_volume": 18089.75, "trend": 14.019754, "fair_value": 15.318268, "relative_strength": -26.750366, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.163134, "energy": 16.499163, "activity_lines": [ 13.593333, 13.109091, 13.059285, 13.260869 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }