{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f7b57639-e334-46dd-8a56-99d3d60ab6a7",
    "symbol": "CSCO",
    "name": "Cisco Systems, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.398,
    "architecture_energy": 44.453,
    "architecture_maturity": 81.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.94,
        "rotation_up": 38.76,
        "upward_expansion": 67.13,
        "deceleration": 94.31,
        "rotation_down": 29.53,
        "downward_expansion": 16.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        101.294001,
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        98.382478,
        91.949708
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 104.720001,
    "trend_reference": 83.496751,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.254181,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.617066,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.849619,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 17.631983,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.485356,
    "excess_performance": 0.311109,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254181,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175338,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.849619,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.273742,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17632,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069367,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.485356,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.127329,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2495,
      "relative_activity": 1.768312,
      "balance": 2.127329,
      "dry_up": 1.541692,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065177,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.397107,
      "from_high_reference": -0.056285,
      "from_low_reference": 0.898254
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 83.496751,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.617066,
      "structural_low": 62.095091,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.010324,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023577,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.066111,
        "worst_return": -0.10423,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.083604,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.046351,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.185417,
        "worst_return": -0.088528,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.054194,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006942,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.188867,
        "worst_return": -0.154071,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.000101,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033753,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.253297,
        "worst_return": -0.091382,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034738,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.183029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.073078,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064073,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010893,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.067835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.059596,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.050468,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 66.129524,
        "fair_value": 51.414435,
        "relative_strength": 6.876592,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 82.110746,
        "energy": 82.478763,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 66.882975,
        "fair_value": 51.685491,
        "relative_strength": 10.695255,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.537639,
        "energy": 92.808984,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1195.95,
        "trend": 68.275072,
        "fair_value": 52.06495,
        "relative_strength": 36.240937,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 99.271236,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.626,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1302.9,
        "trend": 69.723001,
        "fair_value": 52.455518,
        "relative_strength": 36.205619,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 99.191347,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 101.940002,
        "volume": 1661,
        "typical_volume": 1377.35,
        "trend": 71.040621,
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        "relative_strength": 29.757761,
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          75.604227
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 72.636011,
        "fair_value": 53.261917,
        "relative_strength": 38.384266,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 96.462173,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 147,
        "typical_volume": 1340.0,
        "trend": 73.928699,
        "fair_value": 53.658234,
        "relative_strength": 29.853635,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 1246.1,
        "trend": 76.354389,
        "fair_value": 54.414898,
        "relative_strength": 19.834893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.803671,
        "energy": 67.335764,
        "activity_lines": [
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          83.624137
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 98.260002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1168.35,
        "trend": 77.438081,
        "fair_value": 54.768634,
        "relative_strength": 14.221556,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.910663,
        "energy": 63.156445,
        "activity_lines": [
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          85.037402
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 105.019997,
        "volume": 2848,
        "typical_volume": 1242.6,
        "trend": 78.746118,
        "fair_value": 55.177351,
        "relative_strength": 22.978026,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.91243,
        "energy": 60.268466,
        "activity_lines": [
          102.032173,
          102.417425,
          93.651626,
          86.81688
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 97.830002,
        "volume": 1732,
        "typical_volume": 1312.55,
        "trend": 79.808564,
        "fair_value": 55.524644,
        "relative_strength": 16.284086,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.991304,
        "energy": 48.498227,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.511469,
          101.882023,
          94.827016,
          88.048099
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 99.309998,
        "volume": 2132,
        "typical_volume": 1315.0,
        "trend": 80.940094,
        "fair_value": 55.882013,
        "relative_strength": 15.899319,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.373375,
        "energy": 43.772316,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.984081,
          101.317892,
          95.99141,
          89.306256
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 99.300003,
        "volume": 2342,
        "typical_volume": 1318.9,
        "trend": 82.106394,
        "fair_value": 56.235279,
        "relative_strength": 15.416813,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.352498,
        "energy": 40.376954,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.702001,
          100.774672,
          97.003568,
          90.490766
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 104.720001,
        "volume": 2495,
        "typical_volume": 1410.95,
        "trend": 83.496751,
        "fair_value": 56.617066,
        "relative_strength": 17.631983,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.397881,
        "energy": 44.453401,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.294001,
          101.291814,
          98.382478,
          91.949708
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}