{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7bc884e-6539-44a7-8fc3-77393608fc55", "symbol": "REPCOHOME", "name": "Repco Home Finance Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.541, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.09, "architecture_energy": 15.63, "architecture_maturity": 20.945, "architecture_confidence": 66.338, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.4, "rotation_up": 15.86, "upward_expansion": 22.26, "deceleration": 74.33, "rotation_down": 54.5, "downward_expansion": 32.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 388.696669, 396.750909, 395.548808, 392.349181 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 382.700012, "trend_reference": 390.874568, "distance_from_trend": -0.020914, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 414.13253, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.0759, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.479564, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.047324, "excess_performance": -0.003615, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020914, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012291, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.0759, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074123, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.014796, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07364, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047324, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.092794, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 539591, "relative_activity": 0.896807, "balance": 0.092794, "dry_up": 0.655041, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059456, "annualized_volatility": 0.249679, "from_high_reference": -0.156509, "from_low_reference": 0.147182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 390.874568, "fair_value_reference": 414.13253, "structural_low": 333.600006, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.007598, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": 0.003208, "regime_survival": 0.4375, "best_return": 0.410203, "worst_return": -0.170743, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.017641, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.025072, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.786163, "worst_return": -0.111472, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.059093, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.074713, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.736781, 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"direction": 16.204476, "energy": 26.921277, "activity_lines": [ 404.029995, 401.36636, 396.909282, 393.492778 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 385.100006, "volume": 289924, "typical_volume": 590003.05, "trend": 391.99093, "fair_value": 413.962001, "relative_strength": -0.097567, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.995095, "energy": 13.249806, "activity_lines": [ 395.599998, 399.245452, 396.382855, 392.948595 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 382.700012, "volume": 539591, "typical_volume": 601680.4, "trend": 390.874568, "fair_value": 414.13253, "relative_strength": -1.479564, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.08961, "energy": 15.630229, "activity_lines": [ 388.696669, 396.750909, 395.548808, 392.349181 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }