{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7d011cd-e022-4700-ab22-1f564f55624b", "symbol": "CAG", "name": "CAG Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.36, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.066, "architecture_energy": 74.471, "architecture_maturity": 6.78, "architecture_confidence": 81.603, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.1, "rotation_up": 13.9, "upward_expansion": 20.95, "deceleration": 31.38, "rotation_down": 74.61, "downward_expansion": 89.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.133333, 100.210909, 102.183057, 102.726211 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 96.800003, "trend_reference": 102.951524, "distance_from_trend": -0.059752, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 100.360522, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.035477, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.088288, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.031544, "excess_performance": -0.093039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.059752, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004056, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.035477, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117053, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.180883, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097443, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.031544, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.719293, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16199, "relative_activity": 0.566108, "balance": 0.719293, "dry_up": 0.951015, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04013, "annualized_volatility": 0.181347, "from_high_reference": -0.177801, "from_low_reference": 0.021097 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 102.951524, "fair_value_reference": 100.360522, 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30.382395, "energy": 14.037115, "activity_lines": [ 104.353334, 104.150909, 104.560101, 104.159229 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 100.0, "volume": 48694, "typical_volume": 28234.9, "trend": 103.579216, "fair_value": 100.086768, "relative_strength": -12.55227, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.487882, "energy": 9.52041, "activity_lines": [ 103.2, 103.318182, 104.136012, 103.923245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 96.199997, "volume": 28391, "typical_volume": 27939.9, "trend": 103.358009, "fair_value": 100.170846, "relative_strength": -16.781841, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.051238, "energy": 38.071588, "activity_lines": [ 100.766666, 101.930909, 103.361234, 103.447167 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 98.599998, "volume": 15568, "typical_volume": 28055.65, "trend": 103.216802, "fair_value": 100.270308, "relative_strength": -15.436923, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.981863, "energy": 62.075215, "activity_lines": [ 99.586665, 101.176363, 102.848918, 103.140198 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 96.800003, "volume": 16199, "typical_volume": 28614.7, "trend": 102.951524, "fair_value": 100.360522, "relative_strength": -18.088288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.065952, "energy": 74.471139, "activity_lines": [ 98.133333, 100.210909, 102.183057, 102.726211 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }