{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7d217c0-58fb-4271-8339-c59cb83ef64e", "symbol": "QUE", "name": "Queste Communications Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.53, "architecture_energy": 67.302, "architecture_maturity": 82.926, "architecture_confidence": 85.191, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.19, "rotation_up": 29.97, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 61.0, "rotation_down": 50.62, "downward_expansion": 80.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.050109, 0.0516, 0.052723 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.05, "trend_reference": 0.054, "distance_from_trend": -0.074074, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.046019, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086502, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.992183, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.107143, "excess_performance": -0.170849, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.074074, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033413, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.086502, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.193873, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.099922, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.221907, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.107143, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10000, "relative_activity": 2.741078, "balance": null, "dry_up": 0.685269, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.009231, "annualized_volatility": 0.114335, "from_high_reference": -0.242424, "from_low_reference": 0.282051 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.054, "fair_value_reference": 0.046019, "structural_low": 0.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.208333, "directional_follow_through": 0.291667, "median_excess_return": -0.006465, "regime_survival": 0.916667, "best_return": 0.55, "worst_return": -0.468085, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.023306, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.041931, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.466667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.090909, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.074009, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.291667, "worst_return": -0.466667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"relative_strength": -2.916259, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -95.504274, "energy": 98.42639, "activity_lines": [ 0.0508, 0.0524, 0.053914, 0.054542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3148.2, "trend": 0.055, "fair_value": 0.045186, "relative_strength": -4.075213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.548415, "energy": 95.988152, "activity_lines": [ 0.0504, 0.051745, 0.053457, 0.054206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3148.2, "trend": 0.0548, "fair_value": 0.045353, "relative_strength": -3.938848, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.085686, "energy": 78.7435, "activity_lines": [ 0.050133, 0.0512, 0.053029, 0.053884 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3148.2, "trend": 0.0546, "fair_value": 0.045519, "relative_strength": -4.220732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.665033, "energy": 86.588521, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.050764, 0.052629, 0.053574 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3148.2, "trend": 0.0544, "fair_value": 0.045686, "relative_strength": -4.326324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.322447, "energy": 68.540199, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.050436, 0.052257, 0.053277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3148.2, "trend": 0.0542, "fair_value": 0.045853, "relative_strength": -6.826921, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.957762, "energy": 67.997298, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.050218, 0.051914, 0.052994 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.05, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 3648.2, "trend": 0.054, "fair_value": 0.046019, "relative_strength": -9.992183, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.530178, "energy": 67.301513, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.050109, 0.0516, 0.052723 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }