{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7d7bb9d-9ba1-4314-b73f-5e0a8d868646", "symbol": "OSW", "name": "OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.538, "architecture_energy": 21.005, "architecture_maturity": 57.041, "architecture_confidence": 87.838, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.78, "rotation_up": 25.01, "upward_expansion": 60.36, "deceleration": 90.86, "rotation_down": 26.96, "downward_expansion": 15.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.139333, 26.571455, 25.908094, 25.049741 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 26.21, "trend_reference": 23.78399, "distance_from_trend": 0.102002, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.064353, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.450924, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.300457, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.237793, "excess_performance": 0.050339, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102002, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086268, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.450924, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019193, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.013005, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044988, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.237793, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.967925, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6596415, "relative_activity": 1.650026, "balance": 1.967925, "dry_up": 1.186571, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06998, "annualized_volatility": 0.284313, "from_high_reference": -0.10387, "from_low_reference": 0.381314 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.78399, "fair_value_reference": 18.064353, "structural_low": 19.333072, "invalidation": "A 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"green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.216549, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.027429, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019032, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.009933, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.050906, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.022064, "active": false 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27.448, 26.423994, 25.304457, 24.333731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.41, "volume": 3860012, "typical_volume": 4008027.8, "trend": 23.307735, "fair_value": 17.789809, "relative_strength": 5.968769, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.988575, "energy": 58.746212, "activity_lines": [ 27.150667, 26.560924, 25.516872, 24.544665 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.29, "volume": 3307408, "typical_volume": 3961277.0, "trend": 23.474923, "fair_value": 17.879962, "relative_strength": 7.232481, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.755986, "energy": 41.720495, "activity_lines": [ 26.772, 26.646182, 25.694161, 24.737069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.76, "volume": 5210700, "typical_volume": 4007348.5, "trend": 23.64867, "fair_value": 17.971313, "relative_strength": 4.591639, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.539892, "energy": 23.67027, "activity_lines": [ 26.299333, 26.584, 25.792586, 24.884494 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.21, "volume": 6596415, "typical_volume": 3997764.8, "trend": 23.78399, "fair_value": 18.064353, "relative_strength": 1.300457, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.538488, "energy": 21.005351, "activity_lines": [ 26.139333, 26.571455, 25.908094, 25.049741 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }