{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7d9dea4-18fc-4ec6-8b6e-693b3b46ea36", "symbol": "6803", "name": "ECOVE Environment Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 80.7, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.823, "architecture_energy": 41.69, "architecture_maturity": 9.844, "architecture_confidence": 94.402, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.72, "rotation_up": 15.38, "upward_expansion": 6.99, "deceleration": 42.98, "rotation_down": 56.01, "downward_expansion": 80.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 270.466667, 271.72553, 272.248781, 273.368643 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 269.5, "trend_reference": 275.857649, "distance_from_trend": -0.023047, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 267.590516, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.007136, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.803549, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.051724, "excess_performance": -0.493096, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023047, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009242, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.007136, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009284, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.308035, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032179, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.051724, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.771176, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 313199, "relative_activity": 0.792958, "balance": 0.771176, "dry_up": 0.682345, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019898, "annualized_volatility": 0.066606, "from_high_reference": -0.088138, "from_low_reference": 0.011257 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 275.857649, "fair_value_reference": 267.590516, "structural_low": 266.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.004854, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.010215, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.039216, "worst_return": -0.030354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.019613, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.101973, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.094567, "worst_return": -0.05414, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.031485, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.0226, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.255533, "worst_return": -0.011147, "sufficient": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -44.936738, "energy": 19.480405, "activity_lines": [ 273.247709, 273.062532, 273.223982, 274.86014 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 274.0, "volume": 282255, "typical_volume": 409574.4, "trend": 276.930878, "fair_value": 267.679105, "relative_strength": -28.922749, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.322783, "energy": 11.387447, "activity_lines": [ 273.491872, 273.285166, 273.215409, 274.665386 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 270.5, "volume": 274439, "typical_volume": 404571.5, "trend": 276.805224, "fair_value": 267.642716, "relative_strength": -28.078493, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.489292, "energy": 28.539834, "activity_lines": [ 272.366667, 272.824751, 272.897305, 274.250491 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 270.0, "volume": 208145, "typical_volume": 394535.7, "trend": 276.363414, "fair_value": 267.608612, "relative_strength": -29.100259, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.766964, "energy": 38.671643, "activity_lines": [ 271.2, 272.307574, 272.576553, 273.811444 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 269.5, "volume": 313199, "typical_volume": 394975.45, "trend": 275.857649, "fair_value": 267.590516, "relative_strength": -30.803549, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.823352, "energy": 41.690479, "activity_lines": [ 270.466667, 271.72553, 272.248781, 273.368643 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }