{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7ddab49-edf4-45bf-a90d-6a2fb16ff1dd", "symbol": "GOODO", "name": "Gladstone Commercial Corp Preferred Series G", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 87.247, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.555, "architecture_energy": 78.433, "architecture_maturity": 8.906, "architecture_confidence": 64.122, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.53, "rotation_up": 75.64, "upward_expansion": 90.9, "deceleration": 44.73, "rotation_down": 11.54, "downward_expansion": 19.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.511796, 20.307273, 20.141308, 20.018123 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.65, "trend_reference": 19.926113, "distance_from_trend": 0.036329, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.275057, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.129955, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.503904, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.042844, "excess_performance": -0.14461, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036329, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010634, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.129955, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003904, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.085039, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057672, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.042844, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.248701, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20496, "relative_activity": 0.889985, "balance": 1.248701, "dry_up": 1.194409, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016799, "annualized_volatility": 0.05564, "from_high_reference": -0.040663, "from_low_reference": 0.104734 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.926113, "fair_value_reference": 18.275057, "structural_low": 19.180191, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.005007, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.01414, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.062356, "worst_return": -0.048391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.044371, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.036875, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.064771, "worst_return": -0.044204, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.056859, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.048124, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.123763, "worst_return": -0.025703, "sufficient": true }, { 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23611.9, "trend": 19.898816, "fair_value": 18.195211, "relative_strength": -5.078279, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.230835, "energy": 53.398514, "activity_lines": [ 20.18998, 20.105829, 19.994691, 19.921816 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.65, "volume": 35708, "typical_volume": 23427.15, "trend": 19.908425, "fair_value": 18.238215, "relative_strength": -4.124028, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.267926, "energy": 74.270824, "activity_lines": [ 20.37281, 20.211798, 20.070733, 19.970279 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.65, "volume": 20496, "typical_volume": 23029.6, "trend": 19.926113, "fair_value": 18.275057, "relative_strength": -8.503904, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.554842, "energy": 78.433068, "activity_lines": [ 20.511796, 20.307273, 20.141308, 20.018123 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }