{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f7ea4aa0-d3bc-47b8-85b6-3dd5f4feadb5", "symbol": "BBWI", "name": "Bath & Body Works, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 52.557, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.613, "architecture_energy": 15.463, "architecture_maturity": 69.046, "architecture_confidence": 50.076, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.31, "rotation_up": 22.82, "upward_expansion": 31.04, "deceleration": 64.43, "rotation_down": 51.24, "downward_expansion": 31.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 356.8, 367.227273, 354.671974, 353.500874 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 345.0, "trend_reference": 358.92776, "distance_from_trend": -0.038804, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 570.768254, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.395552, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.905774, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.128375, "excess_performance": -0.073708, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.038804, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002149, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.395552, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051727, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149058, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.197472, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.128375, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.085655, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.085655, "dry_up": 0.027894, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071484, "annualized_volatility": 0.520612, "from_high_reference": -0.427189, "from_low_reference": 0.292747 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 358.92776, "fair_value_reference": 570.768254, "structural_low": 279.819183, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.012293, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.073018, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.249121, "worst_return": -0.168398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.065415, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016887, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.273098, "worst_return": -0.198172, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.203906, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.366369, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.227607, "worst_return": -0.255312, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": 36.257067, "energy": 74.177041, "activity_lines": [ 399.573334, 374.917207, 355.072977, 356.615766 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 345.0, "volume": 174, "typical_volume": 1680.7, "trend": 361.282405, "fair_value": 573.840426, "relative_strength": -16.516647, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.917886, "energy": 48.990223, "activity_lines": [ 383.866667, 373.044776, 354.840738, 355.559191 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 345.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1560.7, "trend": 360.621504, "fair_value": 572.30434, "relative_strength": -16.043103, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.296237, "energy": 14.907097, "activity_lines": [ 368.6, 370.628642, 354.720642, 354.508713 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 345.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1559.45, "trend": 358.92776, "fair_value": 570.768254, "relative_strength": -14.905774, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.612811, "energy": 15.463331, "activity_lines": [ 356.8, 367.227273, 354.671974, 353.500874 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }